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Kao (TSE:4452) Beneish M-Score : -2.89 (As of May. 12, 2024)


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What is Kao Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.89 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kao's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4452' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.91   Med: -2.65   Max: -2.39
Current: -2.89

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kao was -2.39. The lowest was -2.91. And the median was -2.65.


Kao Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kao's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kao Beneish M-Score Chart

Kao Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.91 -2.76 -2.55 -2.43 -2.89

Kao Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.56 -2.71 -2.74 -2.89 -

Competitive Comparison of Kao's Beneish M-Score

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Kao's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kao's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Kao's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kao's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Kao Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kao for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9916+0.528 * 0.9668+0.404 * 1.1603+0.892 * 0.9881+0.115 * 0.9547
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0714+4.679 * -0.089624-0.327 * 1.01
=-2.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円225,934 Mil.
Revenue was 406696 + 387355 + 390734 + 347794 = 円1,532,579 Mil.
Gross Profit was 152546 + 148947 + 144045 + 114889 = 円560,427 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円817,109 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,769,746 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円546,815 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円89,595 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円466,770 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円459,934 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円228,013 Mil.
Net Income was 11328 + 15918 + 11807 + 4817 = 円43,870 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 82217 + 57855 + 65211 + -2802 = 円202,481 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円230,604 Mil.
Revenue was 423349 + 393809 + 387106 + 346795 = 円1,551,059 Mil.
Gross Profit was 146977 + 135205 + 139989 + 126171 = 円548,342 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円807,206 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,726,350 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円577,954 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円89,738 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円440,910 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円486,624 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円177,780 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(225934 / 1532579) / (230604 / 1551059)
=0.147421 / 0.148675
=0.9916

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(548342 / 1551059) / (560427 / 1532579)
=0.353527 / 0.365676
=0.9668

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (817109 + 546815) / 1769746) / (1 - (807206 + 577954) / 1726350)
=0.229311 / 0.197637
=1.1603

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1532579 / 1551059
=0.9881

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(89738 / (89738 + 577954)) / (89595 / (89595 + 546815))
=0.1344 / 0.140782
=0.9547

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(466770 / 1532579) / (440910 / 1551059)
=0.304565 / 0.284264
=1.0714

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((228013 + 459934) / 1769746) / ((177780 + 486624) / 1726350)
=0.388726 / 0.384861
=1.01

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(43870 - 0 - 202481) / 1769746
=-0.089624

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kao has a M-score of -2.89 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Kao (TSE:4452) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
14-10, Nihonbashi Kayabacho 1-chome, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 103-8210
Kao is the largest household and personal care product manufacturer in Japan with a footprint across Asia, Europe, and the Americas. Japan remains its largest market, contributing about 60% of sales and an estimated 70% of profits with several leading brands including Attack and Biore. Initially a soap producer established in the 1890s, Kao has expanded into cosmetics, disposable hygiene products, and chemicals, in addition to its home care and toiletry products. Asia, the largest overseas market contributing 20% of group sales, is a key growth driver, led by expansion in China and Indonesia. It has also acquired several Western skin and haircare brands including Jergens, John Frieda, Curel, Molton Brown, and the latest, Oribe.

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