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Zozo (TSE:3092) Beneish M-Score : -2.34 (As of May. 17, 2024)


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What is Zozo Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.34 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Zozo's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3092' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.99   Med: -2.44   Max: -1.78
Current: -2.34

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Zozo was -1.78. The lowest was -2.99. And the median was -2.44.


Zozo Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Zozo's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Zozo Beneish M-Score Chart

Zozo Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.99 -2.74 -2.03 -2.34

Zozo Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.03 - - - -2.34

Competitive Comparison of Zozo's Beneish M-Score

For the Internet Retail subindustry, Zozo's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Zozo's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Zozo's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zozo's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Zozo Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Zozo for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9915+0.528 * 1.0049+0.404 * 1.006+0.892 * 1.0741+0.115 * 0.8738
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9448+4.679 * 0.010824-0.327 * 0.9096
=-2.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円45,789 Mil.
Revenue was 円197,016 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円183,147 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円123,137 Mil.
Total Assets was 円161,862 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円24,660 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円3,843 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円54,974 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円68,261 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円0 Mil.
Net Income was 円44,341 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円42,589 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円42,994 Mil.
Revenue was 円183,423 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円171,341 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円123,493 Mil.
Total Assets was 円155,742 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円18,796 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円2,510 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円54,169 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円72,204 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(45789 / 197016) / (42994 / 183423)
=0.232413 / 0.234398
=0.9915

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(171341 / 183423) / (183147 / 197016)
=0.93413 / 0.929605
=1.0049

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (123137 + 24660) / 161862) / (1 - (123493 + 18796) / 155742)
=0.086895 / 0.08638
=1.006

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=197016 / 183423
=1.0741

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2510 / (2510 + 18796)) / (3843 / (3843 + 24660))
=0.117807 / 0.134828
=0.8738

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(54974 / 197016) / (54169 / 183423)
=0.279033 / 0.295323
=0.9448

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 68261) / 161862) / ((0 + 72204) / 155742)
=0.421723 / 0.463613
=0.9096

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(44341 - 0 - 42589) / 161862
=0.010824

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Zozo has a M-score of -2.34 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Zozo (TSE:3092) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
WBG Maribu West 15th-16th Floor, Nakase 2-6-1, Mihama-ku, Chiba-shi, Chiba, JPN, 261-7116
Zozo was established in 1998 by Yusaku Maezawa (founder and former CEO), and its main business is Zozotown, the largest fashion e-commerce platform in Japan. Zozotown's business consists mainly of consignment sales, where each brand's products are stocked in Zozotown's logistics bases, and brands open their shops on Zozotown as tenants. As of 2022, Zozotown sold clothing from over 8,500 brands and boasted about 9.3 million annual active users. In 2019, Zozo was acquired by Z Holdings. Since then, Zozo also sells through the Yahoo-owned general e-commerce site PayPay Mall.

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