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Tongkun Group Co (SHSE:601233) Beneish M-Score : -2.52 (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is Tongkun Group Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.52 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tongkun Group Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:601233' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.22   Med: -2.34   Max: -0.7
Current: -2.52

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tongkun Group Co was -0.70. The lowest was -4.22. And the median was -2.34.


Tongkun Group Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tongkun Group Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tongkun Group Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Tongkun Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.58 -1.19 -1.07 -0.82 -2.78

Tongkun Group Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.01 -1.82 -2.27 -2.78 -2.52

Competitive Comparison of Tongkun Group Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Textile Manufacturing subindustry, Tongkun Group Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tongkun Group Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Tongkun Group Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tongkun Group Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Tongkun Group Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tongkun Group Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9158+0.528 * 0.4205+0.404 * 0.8822+0.892 * 1.3532+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8524+4.679 * 0.015828-0.327 * 1.0777
=-2.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥1,948 Mil.
Revenue was 21111.384 + 20898.099 + 24844.599 + 20983.696 = ¥87,838 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1415.836 + 414.006 + 1579.638 + 1429.311 = ¥4,839 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥35,583 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥112,132 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥52,566 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥392 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥53,269 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥21,162 Mil.
Net Income was 579.923 + -106.546 + 798.255 + 596.743 = ¥1,868 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -5321.198 + 2798.37 + -2423.635 + 5040 = ¥94 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥1,572 Mil.
Revenue was 15913.454 + 14804.572 + 17337.027 + 16857.464 = ¥64,913 Mil.
Gross Profit was 761.778 + -725.108 + 336.267 + 1130.536 = ¥1,503 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥25,812 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥91,829 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥43,754 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥340 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥36,809 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥19,750 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1947.818 / 87837.778) / (1571.785 / 64912.517)
=0.022175 / 0.024214
=0.9158

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1503.473 / 64912.517) / (4838.791 / 87837.778)
=0.023162 / 0.055088
=0.4205

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (35582.945 + 52565.777) / 112132.018) / (1 - (25811.966 + 43754.204) / 91828.512)
=0.213884 / 0.242434
=0.8822

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=87837.778 / 64912.517
=1.3532

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 43754.204)) / (0 / (0 + 52565.777))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(392.164 / 87837.778) / (339.989 / 64912.517)
=0.004465 / 0.005238
=0.8524

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((21162.179 + 53269.438) / 112132.018) / ((19749.63 + 36809.271) / 91828.512)
=0.663786 / 0.615919
=1.0777

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1868.375 - 0 - 93.537) / 112132.018
=0.015828

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tongkun Group Co has a M-score of -2.52 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Tongkun Group Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Tongkun Group Co (SHSE:601233) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 199 Guangming Road, Tongxiang Economic Development Zone, Tongxiang, Zhejiang, CHN, 314500
Tongkun Group Co Ltd is a China-based company engaged in polyester and polyester filament yarn manufacturing. It offers various polyester filament yarns such as a pre-oriented filament, draw textured yarns, polyester chips, and others under the GOLDENCOCK and Tong Kun brand names. Geographically the business activities are carried out through China.
Executives
Shen Pei Xing Director
Chen Shi Nan Director
Zhou Jun Directors, senior managers
Xu Jin Xiang Directors, senior managers
Chen Jian Rong Director

Tongkun Group Co (SHSE:601233) Headlines

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