GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » Real Estate » Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd (SHSE:600048) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co (SHSE:600048) Beneish M-Score : -2.17 (As of Jun. 02, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2006. Start your Free Trial

What is Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.17 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:600048' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.49   Med: -2.15   Max: -0.86
Current: -2.17

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co was -0.86. The lowest was -2.49. And the median was -2.15.


Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.45 -2.24 -2.24 -2.29 -2.27

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.35 -2.40 -2.49 -2.27 -2.17

Competitive Comparison of Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.822+0.528 * 1.3552+0.404 * 1.0104+0.892 * 1.2404+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.004+4.679 * 0.011783-0.327 * 0.9748
=-2.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ¥160,722 Mil.
Revenue was 49748.497 + 154338.569 + 55528.254 + 97038.034 = ¥356,653 Mil.
Gross Profit was 9271.172 + 18255.965 + 8158.429 + 20400.066 = ¥56,086 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥1,254,302 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥1,424,356 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥13,574 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥10,044 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥770,728 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥308,386 Mil.
Net Income was 2223.607 + -1225.484 + 1070.167 + 9501.572 = ¥11,570 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ¥0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -33305.868 + 7105.886 + -321.849 + 21308.383 = ¥-5,213 Mil.
Total Receivables was ¥157,632 Mil.
Revenue was 39988.674 + 124670.74 + 45674.897 + 77207.624 = ¥287,542 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8771.052 + 23535.926 + 10048.611 + 18924.362 = ¥61,280 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ¥1,274,978 Mil.
Total Assets was ¥1,448,025 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ¥15,599 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ¥0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ¥8,065 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ¥819,663 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ¥305,716 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(160722.245 / 356653.354) / (157631.809 / 287541.935)
=0.45064 / 0.548205
=0.822

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(61279.951 / 287541.935) / (56085.632 / 356653.354)
=0.213117 / 0.157255
=1.3552

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1254301.8 + 13574.065) / 1424355.778) / (1 - (1274978.493 + 15598.614) / 1448024.732)
=0.10986 / 0.108733
=1.0104

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=356653.354 / 287541.935
=1.2404

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 15598.614)) / (0 / (0 + 13574.065))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(10043.811 / 356653.354) / (8065.376 / 287541.935)
=0.028161 / 0.028049
=1.004

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((308386.152 + 770727.962) / 1424355.778) / ((305715.988 + 819663.044) / 1448024.732)
=0.757616 / 0.777182
=0.9748

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(11569.862 - 0 - -5213.448) / 1424355.778
=0.011783

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co has a M-score of -2.17 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co (SHSE:600048) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 688 Yuejiang Middle Road, Poly International Square North Tower, 30-33 Layer, Haizhu District, Guangdong Province, Guangzhou, CHN, 510308
Poly Developments and Holdings is a large real estate developer in China. It is ranked number five by sales value among all Chinese developers in 2019. It has over 600 projects across 100 cities. Property development accounts for 95% of earnings, with property investments and finance income contributing the rest. The company is a subsidiary of China Poly Group, a prominent central-government-controlled state-owned enterprise with ties to the military. China Poly Group holds an aggregate controlling stake of 41% in the company.
Executives
Zhou Dong Li Directors, senior managers
Huang Hai senior management
Zhang Yan Hua senior management
Liu Wen Sheng senior management
Kong Jun Feng Supervisors
Pan Zhi Hua senior management
Liu Ying Chuan senior management
Zhang Wei senior management
Liu Ping Director
Wang Quan Liang senior management
Hu Zai Xin senior management
Zhang Wan Shun Director
Chen Dong Ju senior management
Wang Jian senior management
Song Guang Ju Director

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co (SHSE:600048) Headlines

No Headlines