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Saudi National Bank (SAU:1180) Beneish M-Score : -2.58 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Saudi National Bank Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.58 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Saudi National Bank's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SAU:1180' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.94   Med: -2.4   Max: -1.88
Current: -2.58

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Saudi National Bank was -1.88. The lowest was -3.94. And the median was -2.40.


Saudi National Bank Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Saudi National Bank for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0003+0.892 * 1.0358+0.115 * 1.0363
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1025+4.679 * -0.01249-0.327 * 1.1904
=-2.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ﷼0 Mil.
Revenue was 9295.916 + 8922.166 + 9091.453 + 8808.616 = ﷼36,118 Mil.
Gross Profit was 9295.916 + 8922.166 + 9091.453 + 8808.616 = ﷼36,118 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼0 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼1,072,144 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼12,328 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼2,346 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼2,977 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼17,842 Mil.
Net Income was 5039.609 + 4963.244 + 5009.624 + 5015.56 = ﷼20,028 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ﷼0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 5781.941 + -524.62 + 20819.882 + 7341.877 = ﷼33,419 Mil.
Total Receivables was ﷼0 Mil.
Revenue was 9069.842 + 8449.56 + 8709.054 + 8640.864 = ﷼34,869 Mil.
Gross Profit was 9069.842 + 8449.56 + 8709.054 + 8640.864 = ﷼34,869 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼0 Mil.
Total Assets was ﷼976,053 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ﷼11,521 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ﷼2,288 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ﷼2,607 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ﷼13,644 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 36118.151) / (0 / 34869.32)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(34869.32 / 34869.32) / (36118.151 / 36118.151)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 12328.221) / 1072143.757) / (1 - (0 + 11520.977) / 976053.11)
=0.988501 / 0.988196
=1.0003

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=36118.151 / 34869.32
=1.0358

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2287.558 / (2287.558 + 11520.977)) / (2345.743 / (2345.743 + 12328.221))
=0.165663 / 0.159857
=1.0363

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2976.842 / 36118.151) / (2606.671 / 34869.32)
=0.08242 / 0.074755
=1.1025

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17841.973 + 0) / 1072143.757) / ((13644.136 + 0) / 976053.11)
=0.016641 / 0.013979
=1.1904

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(20028.037 - 0 - 33419.08) / 1072143.757
=-0.01249

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Saudi National Bank has a M-score of -2.58 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Saudi National Bank Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Saudi National Bank (SAU:1180) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
King Fahd Road, The Saudi National Bank Tower, King Abdullah Financial District, 3208 - Al Aqeeq District Unit No. 778, Riyadh, SAU, 13519 - 6676
Saudi National Bank is the largest financial institution in Saudi Arabia. It is engaged in the treasury and capital markets, asset management, brokerage, and investment banks. It has a presence in the Middle East, South Asia, and Turkey. Its operating segments include Retail Banking; Wholesale Banking; Capital Market; and International Banking. The majority of its revenue gets derived from the Retail segment.