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AAK AB (OSTO:AAK) Beneish M-Score : -2.67 (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is AAK AB Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.67 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for AAK AB's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OSTO:AAK' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.92   Med: -2.44   Max: -1.5
Current: -2.67

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of AAK AB was -1.50. The lowest was -2.92. And the median was -2.44.


AAK AB Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for AAK AB's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AAK AB Beneish M-Score Chart

AAK AB Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.57 -2.64 -1.83 -1.86 -2.88

AAK AB Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.32 -2.65 -2.92 -2.88 -2.67

Competitive Comparison of AAK AB's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, AAK AB's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AAK AB's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, AAK AB's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AAK AB's Beneish M-Score falls into.



AAK AB Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of AAK AB for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1422+0.528 * 0.7498+0.404 * 1.0607+0.892 * 0.8694+0.115 * 1.0787
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.5412+4.679 * -0.052345-0.327 * 0.8008
=-2.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr9,656 Mil.
Revenue was 11118 + 10835 + 11619 + 11229 = kr44,801 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3189 + 3140 + 3049 + 2694 = kr12,072 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr20,303 Mil.
Total Assets was kr32,687 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr8,696 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr861 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr1,693 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr9,857 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr2,600 Mil.
Net Income was 933 + 866 + 805 + 614 = kr3,218 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = kr0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 717 + 1353 + 1214 + 1645 = kr4,929 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr9,724 Mil.
Revenue was 12345 + 13317 + 13306 + 12563 = kr51,531 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2849 + 2679 + 2661 + 2222 = kr10,411 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr20,888 Mil.
Total Assets was kr32,096 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr7,794 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr839 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr3,598 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr11,717 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr3,557 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(9656 / 44801) / (9724 / 51531)
=0.215531 / 0.188702
=1.1422

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10411 / 51531) / (12072 / 44801)
=0.202034 / 0.269458
=0.7498

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (20303 + 8696) / 32687) / (1 - (20888 + 7794) / 32096)
=0.112828 / 0.106368
=1.0607

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=44801 / 51531
=0.8694

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(839 / (839 + 7794)) / (861 / (861 + 8696))
=0.097185 / 0.090091
=1.0787

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1693 / 44801) / (3598 / 51531)
=0.037789 / 0.069822
=0.5412

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2600 + 9857) / 32687) / ((3557 + 11717) / 32096)
=0.3811 / 0.475885
=0.8008

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3218 - 0 - 4929) / 32687
=-0.052345

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

AAK AB has a M-score of -2.67 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


AAK AB (OSTO:AAK) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Skrivaregatan 9, Malmo, SWE, SE-215 32
AAK AB is a Swedish refined vegetable oils producer with sales operations around the world. The company has three business segments: Food ingredients, Chocolate & confectionery fats, and Technical products & feed. The food ingredients segment provides solutions to the bakery, dairy, nutrition, plant-based, & food service industries. The Chocolate & Confectionery Fats segment mainly serves manufacturers of chocolate, spreads, & fillings products as well as customers in the personal care industry. Technical Products & Feed segment provides a growing range of specialized solutions, responding to an increased demand for natural ingredients & sustainability. The majority is from the Food ingredients segment.

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