ABSA Bank Kenya Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of ABSA Bank Kenya for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 0.9992 | + | 0.892 * 1.1855 | + | 0.115 * 1.084 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 1.6289 | + | 4.679 * 0.005241 | - | 0.327 * 1.1421 |
| = | -2.44 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Dec23) TTM: | Last Year (Dec22) TTM: |
Total Receivables was KES0 Mil.
Revenue was KES53,746 Mil.
Gross Profit was KES53,746 Mil.
Total Current Assets was KES0 Mil.
Total Assets was KES519,795 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was KES3,317 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was KES991 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was KES1,400 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was KES0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was KES25,933 Mil.
Net Income was KES16,367 Mil.
Gross Profit was KES0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was KES13,643 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was KES0 Mil.
Revenue was KES45,338 Mil.
Gross Profit was KES45,338 Mil.
Total Current Assets was KES0 Mil.
Total Assets was KES477,234 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was KES2,661 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was KES884 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was KES725 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was KES0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was KES20,847 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (0 / 53746) | / | (0 / 45338) |
| = | 0 | / | 0 |
| | = | 1 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (45338 / 45338) | / | (53746 / 53746) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (0 + 3317) / 519795) | / | (1 - (0 + 2661) / 477234) |
| = | 0.993619 | / | 0.994424 |
| | = | 0.9992 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 53746 | / | 45338 |
| | = | 1.1855 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (884 / (884 + 2661)) | / | (991 / (991 + 3317)) |
| = | 0.249365 | / | 0.230037 |
| | = | 1.084 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (1400 / 53746) | / | (725 / 45338) |
| = | 0.026048 | / | 0.015991 |
| | = | 1.6289 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((25933 + 0) / 519795) | / | ((20847 + 0) / 477234) |
| = | 0.049891 | / | 0.043683 |
| | = | 1.1421 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (16367 - 0 | - | 13643) | / | 519795 |
| | = | 0.005241 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
ABSA Bank Kenya has a M-score of -2.44 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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