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Activation Group Holdings (HKSE:09919) Beneish M-Score : -2.39 (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is Activation Group Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.39 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Activation Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:09919' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.03   Med: -2.27   Max: -1.49
Current: -2.39

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Activation Group Holdings was -1.49. The lowest was -4.03. And the median was -2.27.


Activation Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Activation Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Activation Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Activation Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -4.03 -1.49 -2.27 -1.88 -2.39

Activation Group Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.27 - -1.88 - -2.39

Competitive Comparison of Activation Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, Activation Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Activation Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Activation Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Activation Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Activation Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Activation Group Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9187+0.528 * 0.9441+0.404 * 0.7827+0.892 * 1.3635+0.115 * 0.7784
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.6854+4.679 * -0.008962-0.327 * 1.0907
=-2.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$454 Mil.
Revenue was HK$1,058 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$326 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$790 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$870 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$11 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$159 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$469 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$4 Mil.
Net Income was HK$118 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$126 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$362 Mil.
Revenue was HK$776 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$226 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$698 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$794 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$16 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$170 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$388 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$7 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(453.817 / 1057.937) / (362.305 / 775.901)
=0.428964 / 0.466947
=0.9187

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(225.846 / 775.901) / (326.189 / 1057.937)
=0.291076 / 0.308326
=0.9441

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (790.42 + 11.4) / 869.993) / (1 - (698.362 + 16.379) / 794.259)
=0.07836 / 0.100116
=0.7827

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1057.937 / 775.901
=1.3635

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5.721 / (5.721 + 16.379)) / (5.68 / (5.68 + 11.4))
=0.258869 / 0.332553
=0.7784

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(158.745 / 1057.937) / (169.876 / 775.901)
=0.150051 / 0.21894
=0.6854

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3.597 + 468.982) / 869.993) / ((7.231 + 388.316) / 794.259)
=0.543199 / 0.498008
=1.0907

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(118.119 - 0 - 125.916) / 869.993
=-0.008962

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Activation Group Holdings has a M-score of -2.39 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Activation Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Activation Group Holdings (HKSE:09919) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 399A Liu Zhou Road, 8th Floor, Hengdi Warehouse International Building, Xuhui District, Shanghai, CHN, 200235
Activation Group Holdings Ltd is an integrated marketing solutions provider. The company focuses on the provision of experiential marketing, digital and brand communication, and public relations services. Its operating segment includes Experiential marketing services, Digital and communication services and IP development. The company generates maximum revenue from Experiential marketing services. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from Mainland China and also has a presence in Hong Kong/Singapore.
Executives
Lau Kam Yiu 2101 Beneficial owner
Rays Capital Partners Limited 2102 Investment manager
Ruan David Ching Chi 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Snow Lake China Master Fund, Ltd. 2101 Beneficial owner
Snow Lake China Offshore Fund, Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Snow Lake Management Llc 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Snow Lake Management Lp 2102 Investment manager
Ma Sean 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ai De Zhong Xin Shang Hai Tou Zi Guan Li Qi Ye You Xian He Huo 2101 Beneficial owner
Low Wei Mun 2101 Beneficial owner
Chan Wai Bun 2101 Beneficial owner
Li Meixuan 2202 Interest of your spouse
Chung Wing Ting 2202 Interest of your spouse
Ng Bo Sing 2101 Beneficial owner
Act Partners Global Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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