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Blue Moon Group Holdings (HKSE:06993) Beneish M-Score : -2.84 (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is Blue Moon Group Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.84 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Blue Moon Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:06993' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.84   Med: -2.45   Max: -1.88
Current: -2.84

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Blue Moon Group Holdings was -1.88. The lowest was -2.84. And the median was -2.45.


Blue Moon Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Blue Moon Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Blue Moon Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Blue Moon Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -1.88 -2.49 -2.32 -2.45 -2.84

Blue Moon Group Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.32 - -2.45 - -2.84

Competitive Comparison of Blue Moon Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Blue Moon Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blue Moon Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Blue Moon Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blue Moon Group Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Blue Moon Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Blue Moon Group Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.742+0.528 * 0.9327+0.404 * 1.5264+0.892 * 0.9216+0.115 * 0.9345
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2579+4.679 * -0.03518-0.327 * 1.0405
=-2.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$1,461 Mil.
Revenue was HK$7,324 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$4,540 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$9,566 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$12,053 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,652 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$254 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$4,358 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,429 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$102 Mil.
Net Income was HK$325 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$749 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$2,136 Mil.
Revenue was HK$7,947 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$4,595 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$10,375 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$12,730 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,777 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$253 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$3,760 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,426 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$127 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1460.665 / 7323.532) / (2135.954 / 7946.733)
=0.199448 / 0.268784
=0.742

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4595.441 / 7946.733) / (4540.42 / 7323.532)
=0.578281 / 0.619977
=0.9327

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9565.511 + 1651.979) / 12052.641) / (1 - (10374.825 + 1777.018) / 12729.725)
=0.069292 / 0.045396
=1.5264

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=7323.532 / 7946.733
=0.9216

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(252.524 / (252.524 + 1777.018)) / (253.752 / (253.752 + 1651.979))
=0.124424 / 0.133152
=0.9345

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4358.386 / 7323.532) / (3759.577 / 7946.733)
=0.595121 / 0.473097
=1.2579

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((101.552 + 1428.56) / 12052.641) / ((126.779 + 1426.346) / 12729.725)
=0.126952 / 0.122008
=1.0405

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(325.309 - 0 - 749.316) / 12052.641
=-0.03518

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Blue Moon Group Holdings has a M-score of -2.84 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Blue Moon Group Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Blue Moon Group Holdings (HKSE:06993) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 36, Pu Nan Road, Yun Pu Industrial Zone, Huangpu District, Guangzhou, CHN, 510760
Blue Moon has a portfolio of market-leading products in three categories: fabric care, personal hygiene, and home care. Fabric care comprises around 85% of the group's revenue. As a pioneer in China's household care market, it holds a leading market share by value in China's liquid laundry detergent and liquid soap markets, as at 2022. Blue Moon is also an early entrant into e-commerce, with the online channel contributing over half of 2022 sales. Most of Blue Moon's core products are marketed under the namesake brand.

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