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Green Thumb Industries (XCNQ:GTII) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : C$7.26 (As of Jun. 01, 2024)


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What is Green Thumb Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-01), Green Thumb Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is C$7.26. The stock price of Green Thumb Industries is C$15.50. Therefore, Green Thumb Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Green Thumb Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XCNQ:GTII' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.57   Med: 3.81   Max: 13.75
Current: 2.13

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Green Thumb Industries was 13.75. The lowest was 1.57. And the median was 3.81.

XCNQ:GTII's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
60.43% of 599 companies
in the Drug Manufacturers industry
Industry Median: 1.56 vs XCNQ:GTII: 2.13

Green Thumb Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Green Thumb Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Green Thumb Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Green Thumb Industries Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.16 3.55 6.06 6.32 6.42

Green Thumb Industries Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.56 6.04 6.19 6.42 7.26

Competitive Comparison of Green Thumb Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Green Thumb Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Green Thumb Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Green Thumb Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Green Thumb Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Green Thumb Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Green Thumb Industries's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = C$-15.26.

Green Thumb Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-15.25552+2364.738*0.8)/240.562
=7.26

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Green Thumb Industries  (XCNQ:GTII) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Green Thumb Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=15.50/7.2603008198333
=2.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Green Thumb Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Green Thumb Industries (XCNQ:GTII) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
325 West Huron Street, Suite 700, Chicago, IL, USA, 60654
Green Thumb Industries is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, and produces and sells medicinal and recreational cannabis through wholesale and retail channels in the United States. It has a presence in 15 states and operates roughly 87 cannabis stores under the brand Rise. GTI is focusing its expansion on limited license states with large populations, and it does not currently export into the global medical market due to U.S. federal prohibition. It offers multiple products under a portfolio of cannabis consumer packaged goods brands, including &Shine, Beboe, Dogwalkers, Doctor Solomon's, Good Green, incredibles and RYTHM.

Green Thumb Industries (XCNQ:GTII) Headlines

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