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Tsubakimoto Chain Co (TSE:6371) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : 円12,489.22 (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is Tsubakimoto Chain Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-28), Tsubakimoto Chain Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 円12,489.22. The stock price of Tsubakimoto Chain Co is 円5900.00. Therefore, Tsubakimoto Chain Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tsubakimoto Chain Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:6371' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.26   Med: 0.38   Max: 0.6
Current: 0.47

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Tsubakimoto Chain Co was 0.60. The lowest was 0.26. And the median was 0.38.

TSE:6371's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
91.82% of 1920 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.56 vs TSE:6371: 0.47

Tsubakimoto Chain Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tsubakimoto Chain Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tsubakimoto Chain Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Tsubakimoto Chain Co Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9,472.15 10,142.30 10,572.20 11,011.40 12,489.20

Tsubakimoto Chain Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11,011.40 - - - 12,489.20

Competitive Comparison of Tsubakimoto Chain Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Tsubakimoto Chain Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tsubakimoto Chain Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Tsubakimoto Chain Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tsubakimoto Chain Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Tsubakimoto Chain Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Tsubakimoto Chain Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = 円25,850.14.

Tsubakimoto Chain Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*25850.142857143+258399*0.8)/36.257
=12,489.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Tsubakimoto Chain Co  (TSE:6371) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Tsubakimoto Chain Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=5900.00/12489.219979753
=0.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Tsubakimoto Chain Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Tsubakimoto Chain Co (TSE:6371) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Nakanoshima Mitsui Building, 6F, 3-3-3, Nakanoshima, Kita-ku, Osaka, JPN, 530-0005
Tsubakimoto Chain Co. is a Japan-based company that is engaged in manufacturing and sales of various variable speed drives, handling equipment and other related products and services. The company operates through four divisions. The Chain operation supplies chain products, including drive chains and conveyor chains. The Automotive Parts operation provides automotive timing drive systems, timing belts, long belts and others. The Power Transmission Unites and Component operation provides reducers, variable speed drives, motion control units and others. The Materials Handling Systems operation supplies sorting systems, conveyance systems, storage and picking systems and others. The company generates most of its revenue from Japan, America and Europe.

Tsubakimoto Chain Co (TSE:6371) Headlines

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