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UTour Group Co (SZSE:002707) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ¥0.45 (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is UTour Group Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-24), UTour Group Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ¥0.45. The stock price of UTour Group Co is ¥6.37. Therefore, UTour Group Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 14.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for UTour Group Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:002707' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.93   Med: 6.35   Max: 234
Current: 14.16

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of UTour Group Co was 234.00. The lowest was 0.93. And the median was 6.35.

SZSE:002707's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
95.96% of 570 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 1.14 vs SZSE:002707: 14.16

UTour Group Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for UTour Group Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

UTour Group Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

UTour Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.36 1.21 0.27 0.35 -0.03

UTour Group Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.04 0.52 0.36 -0.03 0.45

Competitive Comparison of UTour Group Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Travel Services subindustry, UTour Group Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


UTour Group Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, UTour Group Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where UTour Group Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



UTour Group Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get UTour Group Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ¥-19.98.

UTour Group Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-19.97936+780.233*0.8)/967.081
=0.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


UTour Group Co  (SZSE:002707) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

UTour Group Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=6.37/0.44874821047838
=14.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


UTour Group Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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UTour Group Co (SZSE:002707) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 8 Chaoyang Park Road, West 2nd Gate, Chaoyang Park, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100125
UTour Group Co Ltd is a Chinese company operating as a travel agency. It operates a professional travel service e-commerce website, provides tourists with team travel, hotel reservations, and membership services. The company is mainly engaged in outbound travel wholesale, outbound travel retail, integrated marketing services, long-distance outbound travels in various countries.
Executives
Feng Bin Directors, executives
Zhang Yi Man Directors, executives
Wang Chun Feng Executives
Guo Hong Bin Director
Wang Wei Wei Supervisors
Han Li Directors, executives
Cao Jian Directors, executives
Zhang Lei Executives
Zhao Rui Executives
Li Hong Xiu Supervisors
Du Zheng Tai Executives
Wang Feng Secretary Dong
Hu Ping Securities Affairs Representative
Lin Yan Directors, executives
He Jing Directors, executives

UTour Group Co (SZSE:002707) Headlines

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