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Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co (SZSE:000837) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ¥3.61 (As of Jun. 03, 2024)


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What is Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-03), Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ¥3.61. The stock price of Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co is ¥8.10. Therefore, Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:000837' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.23   Med: 7.18   Max: 25.48
Current: 2.24

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co was 25.48. The lowest was 2.23. And the median was 7.18.

SZSE:000837's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
65.34% of 1913 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.53 vs SZSE:000837: 2.24

Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.47 1.40 3.56 3.21 3.90

Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.27 4.48 3.93 3.90 3.61

Competitive Comparison of Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ¥-19.23.

Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-19.23376+4792.372*0.8)/1011.713
=3.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co  (SZSE:000837) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=8.10/3.6085188608702
=2.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co (SZSE:000837) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 22 Jiangtan Road, Shanxi, Baoji, CHN, 721009
Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co Ltd is mainly engaged in the production and sales of metal cutting machine tools, plastic processing machinery and related equipment and raw materials in China. It offers CNC machine tools, gear and gearboxes, plastics machinery, and precision casting products.
Executives
Zhao Jia Bao Executives
Hu Hong Directors, executives
Tian Sha Executives
Hang Bao Jun Executives
Si Guan Lin Executives
Guo Bao An Executives
Long Xing Yuan Directors, executives
Fu Lin Xing Directors, executives
Song Geng Tian Supervisors
Liu Wan Chao Directors, executives
Li Qiang Director
Wang La Xiang Supervisors
Mao Feng Executives
Zhang Yi Supervisors
Wu Kang Executives

Qinchuan Machine Tool & Tool Group Share Co (SZSE:000837) Headlines

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