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Penumbra (Penumbra) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $24.08 (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is Penumbra Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-07), Penumbra's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $24.08. The stock price of Penumbra is $189.12. Therefore, Penumbra's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 7.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Penumbra's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PEN' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 7.87   Med: 18.27   Max: 36.03
Current: 7.88

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Penumbra was 36.03. The lowest was 7.87. And the median was 18.27.

PEN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
94.08% of 355 companies
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry
Industry Median: 1.67 vs PEN: 7.88

Penumbra Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Penumbra's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Penumbra Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Penumbra Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.39 8.48 14.56 12.25 21.26

Penumbra Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.04 15.69 18.20 21.26 24.08

Competitive Comparison of Penumbra's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Medical Devices subindustry, Penumbra's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Penumbra's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Penumbra's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Penumbra's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Penumbra Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Penumbra's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-1.01.

Penumbra's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.26395753773*-1.00736+1203.531*0.8)/39.387
=24.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Penumbra  (NYSE:PEN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Penumbra's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=189.12/24.08042906885
=7.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Penumbra Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Penumbra (Penumbra) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Penumbra Place, Alameda, CA, USA, 94502
Penumbra Inc develops and manufactures medical devices for the neurovascular and peripheral vascular markets. Its products are primarily sold to hospitals and are developed for use by specialist physicians. The neurovascular product category contributes to the majority of revenue. Within the neurovascular business, the firm offers products for neurovascular access, ischemic stroke, neurovascular embolization, and neurosurgical tool markets. In the peripheral vascular business, the firm sells devices related to peripheral embolization and peripheral thrombectomy. Penumbra generates the majority of its revenue in the United States.
Executives
Harpreet Grewal director C/O VISTAPRINT USA, INCORPORATED, 100 HAYDEN AVE., LEXINGTON MA 02050
Surbhi Sarna director ONE PENUMBRA PLACE, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Johanna Roberts officer: EVP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary PENUMBRA, INC., ONE PENUMBRA PLACE, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Bridget O'rourke director ONE PENUMBRA PLACE, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Adam Elsesser director, officer: Chairman, CEO and President 1351 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Don W. Kassing director 1351 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Thomas Wilder director 2 MUSICK, IRVINE CA 92618
Arani Bose director, officer: Chief Innovator 1351 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Lynn Rothman officer: EVP and Chief Business Officer 1351 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY, ALAMEDA CA 94502
James Robert Pray officer: President, International 1351 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Sridhar Kosaraju officer: CFO and Head of Strategy 1351 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Maggie Yuen officer: Chief Financial Officer ONE PENUMBRA PLACE, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Lambert Shiu officer: Chief Accounting Officer ONE PENUMBRA PLACE, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Janet Leeds director ONE PENUMBRA PLACE, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Robert D. Evans officer: EVP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary ONE PENUMBRA PLACE, 1351 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY, ALAMEDA CA 94502