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Hilton Food Group (LSE:HFG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : £5.01 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Hilton Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-27), Hilton Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is £5.01. The stock price of Hilton Food Group is £9.38. Therefore, Hilton Food Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hilton Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:HFG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.6   Med: 2.13   Max: 4.78
Current: 1.87

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Hilton Food Group was 4.78. The lowest was 1.60. And the median was 2.13.

LSE:HFG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
69.21% of 1244 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.15 vs LSE:HFG: 1.87

Hilton Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hilton Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hilton Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Hilton Food Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.46 2.33 3.98 2.93 5.01

Hilton Food Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jul16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.98 - 2.93 - 5.01

Competitive Comparison of Hilton Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Hilton Food Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hilton Food Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Hilton Food Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hilton Food Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Hilton Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Hilton Food Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = £13.51.

Hilton Food Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*13.506285714286+310.311*0.8)/89.544
=5.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hilton Food Group  (LSE:HFG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Hilton Food Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=9.38/5.0141611060893
=1.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hilton Food Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Hilton Food Group (LSE:HFG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Latham Road, 2-8 The Interchange, Huntingdon, Cambridgeshire, GBR, PE29 6YE
Hilton Food Group PLC is engaged in the specialist retail meat-packing business supplying international food retailers in Europe, Australia, and New Zealand. It is into wholesaling of food protein products including meat, seafood, and vegetarian. The company has three operating segments, namely Europe (which consists of The United Kingdom, Netherlands, Belgium, the Republic of Ireland, Sweden, Denmark, Central Europe including Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Slovakia, Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia, and Portugal), APAC, and Central costs. The company derives a majority of its revenue from the European Countries.

Hilton Food Group (LSE:HFG) Headlines

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