Jiumaojiu International Holdings (HKSE:09922) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$5.85 (As of May. 23, 2024)

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What is Jiumaojiu International Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-23), Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$5.85. The stock price of Jiumaojiu International Holdings is HK$5.23. Therefore, Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:09922' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.89 Med: 2.41 Max: 3.78
Current: 0.89

During the past 8 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Jiumaojiu International Holdings was 3.78. The lowest was 0.89. And the median was 2.41.

HKSE:09922's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
64.13% of 223 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.37 vs HKSE:09922: 0.89

Jiumaojiu International Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Jiumaojiu International Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Jiumaojiu International Holdings Annual Data

Trend

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

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5.51

5.85

Jiumaojiu International Holdings Semi-Annual Data
	Dec16	Dec17	Jun18	Dec18	Jun19	Dec19	Jun20	Dec20	Jun21	Dec21	Jun22	Dec22	Jun23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	Get a 7-Day Free Trial									-	-	5.51	-	5.85

Competitive Comparison of Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Restaurants subindustry, Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.

Jiumaojiu International Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$375.17.

Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	=	(Growth Multiple	*	Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)	+	Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)	*	0.8)	/	Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
	=	(14.862653310476	*	375.16857142857	+	3648.338	*	0.8)	/	1452.574
	=	5.85

Jiumaojiu International Holdings (HKSE:09922) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF	=	Share Price	/	Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
	=	5.23	/	5.8480124318137
	=	0.89

Jiumaojiu International Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Jiumaojiu International Holdings (HKSE:09922) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Restaurants » Jiumaojiu International Holdings Ltd (HKSE:09922) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

3YU:Germany

Address

1 Mingzhuyi Street, Room 404-A197, Hengli Town, Nansha District, Guangzhou, CHN

Website

http://www.jiumaojiu.com

Jiumaojiu International is a Chinese multibrand restaurant operator. The firm generates most of its revenue from Tai Er, a restaurant chain that is known for its sauerkraut fish (steamed fish smothered in pickled cabbage). Established in 2015, Tai Er is immensely popular, with over 400 outlets in China, and is frequented particularly by the post-1990s generation.Other key concepts include the namesake concept Jiu Mao Jiu (nearly 80 units) and a newly created restaurant concept Song Hot Pot (almost 30 outlets), but the company's portfolio also includes other brands such as Uncle Chef (Cantonese cuisine) and Lai Mei Li (Chinese grilled fish). All of Jiumaojiu's restaurants are company-owned, as the firm is focusing more on the quality of its restaurants over quantity.

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