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GCL Technology Holdings (HKSE:03800) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$-1.11 (As of Jun. 08, 2024)


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What is GCL Technology Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-06-08), GCL Technology Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$-1.11. The stock price of GCL Technology Holdings is HK$1.40. Therefore, GCL Technology Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for GCL Technology Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:03800's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Semiconductors industry.
Industry Median: 2.065
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

GCL Technology Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for GCL Technology Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

GCL Technology Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

GCL Technology Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.56 -1.07 -0.73 -0.34 -1.11

GCL Technology Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.73 - -0.34 - -1.11

Competitive Comparison of GCL Technology Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Solar subindustry, GCL Technology Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


GCL Technology Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, GCL Technology Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where GCL Technology Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



GCL Technology Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get GCL Technology Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$-6,998.54.

GCL Technology Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-6998.5407142857+46580.779*0.8)/26542.451
=-1.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


GCL Technology Holdings  (HKSE:03800) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

GCL Technology Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.40/-1.1063011874327
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


GCL Technology Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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GCL Technology Holdings (HKSE:03800) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1 Austin Road West, Unit 1703-1706, Level 17, International Commerce Centre, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
GCL Technology Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. It is principally engaged in the manufacturing and sales of polysilicon and wafers for the solar industry; and the sales of electricity, development, investment, management and operation of solar projects. The company operates in two reportable segments Solar material business which mainly manufactures and sales of polysilicon and wafer to companies operating in the solar industry, and the Solar farm business which manages and operates solar farms located in the USA and the PRC. The majority of revenue is derived from the Solar material business segment.
Executives
Zhu Gongshan
Zhu Yufeng
Blackrock, Inc. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Morgan Stanley 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Asia Pacific Energy Fund Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Credit Suisse Trust Limited 2301 Trustee
Yu Yong 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hong Shang Chan Ye Kong Gu Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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