Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-05-23), Ferguson's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $58.26. The stock price of Ferguson is $210.14. Therefore, Ferguson's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.6.
The historical rank and industry rank for Ferguson's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
FERG'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.67 Med: 4.99 Max: 111.56
Current: 3.6
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ferguson was 111.56. The lowest was 2.67. And the median was 4.99.
FERG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 93.33% of 120
companies
in the Industrial Distribution industry
Industry Median: 0.855
vs FERG: 3.60
Ferguson Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
The historical data trend for Ferguson's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Competitive Comparison of Ferguson's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Ferguson's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Ferguson's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Distribution Industry
For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Ferguson's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Ferguson's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Ferguson's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
210.14
/
58.259383191615
=
3.61
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Ferguson Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ferguson's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Ferguson distributes plumbing and HVAC products primarily to repair, maintenance and improvement, new construction, and civil infrastructure markets. It serves over 1 million customers and sources products from 37,000 suppliers. Ferguson engages customers through approximately 1,700 North American branches, over the phone, online, and in residential showrooms. In fiscal 2023, Ferguson derived 95% of its nearly $30 billion of sales in the U.S. According to Modern Distribution Management, Ferguson is the largest industrial and construction distributor in North America. The firm sold its U.K. business in 2021 and is now solely focused on the North American market.
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