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International Bancshares (International Bancshares) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $115.87 (As of May. 29, 2024)


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What is International Bancshares Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-05-29), International Bancshares's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $115.87.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

International Bancshares's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for International Bancshares is 51.42%.

The historical rank and industry rank for International Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

IBOC' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.39   Med: 0.51   Max: 0.67
Current: 0.49

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of International Bancshares was 0.67. The lowest was 0.39. And the median was 0.51.

IBOC's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked better than
58.31% of 638 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.56 vs IBOC: 0.49

International Bancshares Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for International Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

International Bancshares Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

International Bancshares Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 75.80 85.83 127.78

International Bancshares Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 99.99 112.53 108.53 127.78 115.87

Competitive Comparison of International Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, International Bancshares's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


International Bancshares's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, International Bancshares's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where International Bancshares's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



International Bancshares Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.62%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 11.50%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> International Bancshares's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 11.50%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 11.50%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $6.550.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

International Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.115)/(1+0.11) = 1.0045045045045
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=6.550*17.6899
=115.87

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(115.87-56.29)/115.87
=51.42 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


International Bancshares  (NAS:IBOC) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


International Bancshares Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of International Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


International Bancshares (International Bancshares) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1200 San Bernardo Avenue, Laredo, TX, USA, 78042 - 1359
International Bancshares Corp is a financial holding company with bank subsidiaries that provide commercial and retail banking services, primarily in Texas and Oklahoma. The subsidiaries gather funds from various sources and invest these funds to earn a return. Fund gathering primarily takes the form of accepting demand and time deposits. The bank subsidiaries have historically focused on providing commercial banking services to small and medium-size businesses. The subsidiaries have increasingly transitioned to also providing consumer and retail banking, including mortgage lending. The company's strategy emphasizes customer service and expense control. The company generates net revenue primarily through net interest income.
Executives
Sanchez Antonio R Jr director, 10 percent owner 1360 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 2400, HOUSTON TX 77056
Diana G Zuniga director 1200 SAN BERNARDO, 1200 SAN BERNARDO AVE, LAREDO TX 78040
Dalia F Martinez officer: VICE PRESIDENT 1200 SAN BERNARDO, 1200 SAN BERNARDO AVE, LAREDO TX 78042
Rudolph Miles director 1200 SAN BERNARDO, LAREDO TX 78040
Anda Javier De director 1200 SAN BERNARDO, LAREDO TX 78040
Roberto R Resendez director 1200 SAN BERNARDO, LAREDO TX 78040
Judith I Wawroski officer: Treasurer/PAO 1200 SAN BERNARDO, LAREDO TX 78040
Julie L Tarvin officer: VICE PRESIDENT 1200 SAN BERNARDO, LAREDO TX 78040
R David Guerra director
Imelda Navarro director, officer: Executive Officer
Leonardo Salinas director PO BOX 1359, LAREDO TX 78040
Larry A Norton director 1200 SAN BERNARDO AVE., LAREDO TX 78040
Hastings Daniel B Jr director P O BOX 1359, LAREDO TX 78040
Dennis E Nixon director, officer: CEO P.O. BOX 1359, LAREDO TX 78040
Douglas B Howland director 1200 SAN BERNARDO AVE., LAREDO TX 78040

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