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Oxford Industries (Oxford Industries) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $152.94 (As of Jun. 04, 2024)


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What is Oxford Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-06-04), Oxford Industries's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $152.94.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Oxford Industries's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Oxford Industries is 28.59%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Oxford Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Oxford Industries was 6.71. The lowest was 0.00. And the median was 2.01.

OXM's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry.
Industry Median: 1.115
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Oxford Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Oxford Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Oxford Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Oxford Industries Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Oxford Industries Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Oxford Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, Oxford Industries's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Oxford Industries's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Oxford Industries's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oxford Industries's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Oxford Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.38%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 11.40%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Oxford Industries's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 11.40%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 11.40%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $8.703.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Oxford Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.114)/(1+0.11) = 1.0036036036036
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=8.703*17.5727
=152.94

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (152.94 - 109.22) / 152.94
= 28.59 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Oxford Industries  (NYSE:OXM) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Oxford Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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Oxford Industries (Oxford Industries) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
999 Peachtree Street, Northeast, Suite 688, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30309
Oxford Industries Inc is an apparel manufacturing company that designs, sources, markets, and distributes products under the brand name called Tommy Bahama, and Lilly Pulitzer. Tommy Bahama designs, sources, markets and distributes men's and women's sportswear and related products. Lilly Pulitzer designs, sources, markets and distributes upscale collections of women's and girl's dresses, sportswear and related products. The company generates a majority of its revenue from the Tommy Bahama division.
Executives
Dennis M Love director TEN PEACHTREE PLACE, DEPT. 1466, ATLANTA GA 30309
Scott Grassmyer officer: SVP and CFO 999 PEACHTREE ST NE, SUITE 688, ATLANTA GA 30309
Chubb Thomas Caldecot Iii director, officer: CEO and PRESIDENT 999 PEACHTREE ST NE, SUITE 688, ATLANTA GA 30309
Stephen S Lanier director 999 PEACHTREE STREET, NE, SUITE 688, ATLANTA GA 30309
Carol B Yancey director 2999 CIRCLE 75 PKWY, ATLANTA GA 30339
Robert S. Trauber officer: CEO Johnny Was 999 PEACHTREE STREET NE, SUITE 688, ATLANTA GA 30309
Tracey Hernandez officer: SVP & CHRO 999 PEACHTREE STREET NE, SUITE 688, ATLANTA GA 30309
Thomas E Campbell officer: General Counsel 999 PEACHTREE ST NE, SUITE 688, ATLANTA GA 30309
Howard James Wesley Jr officer: PRESIDENT, LANIER CLOTHES 999 PEACHTREE ST NE, SUITE 688, ATLANTA GA 30309
John R Holder director 999 PEACHTREE ST NE, SUITE 688, ATLANTA GA 30309
Milford W Mcguirt director 3400 CUMBERLAND BOULEVARD, ATLANTA GA 30339
Clyde C Tuggle director
Suraj A Palakshappa officer: General Counsel 999 PEACHTREE STREET NE, SUITE 688, ATLANTA GA 30309
Virginia A Hepner director 415 EAST PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 200, ATLANTA GA 30305
Michelle M Kelly officer: President Lilly Pulitzer 999 PEACHTREE STREET, NE, SUITE 688, ATLANTA GA 30309