Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund (Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $29.39 (As of Jun. 06, 2024)

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What is Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-06-06), Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $29.39.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund is 92.04%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CUBA's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Asset Management industry.
Industry Median: 0.98
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Annual Data

Trend

Jun18

Jun19

Jun20

Jun21

Jun22

Jun23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Semi-Annual Data
	Dec17	Jun18	Dec18	Jun19	Dec19	Jun20	Dec20	Jun21	Dec21	Jun22	Dec22	Jun23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial								-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.29%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 41.40%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $0.9405.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

0.9405

31.2501

29.39

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(29.39	-	2.3393)	/	29.39
	=	92.04 %

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund (NAS:CUBA) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund (Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Inc (NAS:CUBA) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

119 Washington Avenue, Suite 504, Miami Beach, FL, USA, 33139

Website

https://www.herzfeld.com

Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Fund Inc operates as a closed-end management investment company. The company's investment objective is to obtain long-term capital appreciation. The firm offers customized discretionary account management and fund management services to individual and institutional investors. The fund invests in equity and equity-linked securities of public and private companies, including United States-based companies, whose securities are traded principally on a stock exchange in a Caribbean Basin Country. The fund's revenue source is through the dividends it receives. Its investments are geographically allocated in the United States followed by Puerto Rico, Mexico, and other countries.

Executives

Thomas J Herzfeld	director, officer: President	THE HERZFELD CARIBBEAN BASIN FUND INC, 119 WASHINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Erik Mervin Herzfeld	officer: Portfolio Manager	THE HERZFELD CARIBBEAN BASIN FUND INC., 119 WASHINGTON AVE. SUITE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Ryan M Paylor	other: Portfolio Manager	THE HERZFELD CARIBBEAN BASIN FUND INC., 119 WASHINGTON AVE., SUITE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Cecilia L Gondor	officer: Secretary/Treasurer	THE HERZFELD CARIBBEAN BASIN FUND INC, 119 WASHINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Phillip Goldstein	10 percent owner	60 HERITAGE DRIVE, PLEASANTVILLE NY 10570
Zachary Paul Richmond	officer: Treasurer	C/O ULTIMUS FUND SOLUTIONS, LLC, 225 PICTORIA DRIVE, SUITE 450, CINCINNATI OH 45246
Alice Tham	officer: Secretary	C/O THOMAS J. HERZFELD ADVISORS, INC., 119 WASHINGTON AVE., SUITE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Thomas K Morgan	officer: CCO	C/O THOMAS J. HERZFELD ADVISORS, INC., 119 WASHINGTON AVE, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Jose Raphael Oro	other: Access Person	17 OLD ORCHARD ROAD, NORTH HAVEN CT 06473
Teofilo Abraham Babun	other: Access Person	119 WASHINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Kay W Tatum	director	122 SEVILLA AVE, APT 1713, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Lee Reanna J.m.	officer: Secretary/Treasurer/CCO	119 WASHINGTON AVE, STE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
John A Gelety	director	THE HERZFELD CARIBBEAN BASIN FUND INC., 119 WASHINGTON AVE., SUITE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Ann S Lieff	director	THE HERZFELD CARIBBEAN BASIN FUND INC., 119 WASHINGTON AVE., SUITE 504, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Michael A Rubin	director	420 SOUTH DIXIE HIGHWAY, STE 4-B, CORAL GABLES FL 33176