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McDonald's (XTER:MDO) E10 : €8.14 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is McDonald's E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €2.447. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is €8.14 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, McDonald's's average E10 Growth Rate was 9.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 10.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 8.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 7.80% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of McDonald's was 15.70% per year. The lowest was 3.80% per year. And the median was 9.40% per year.

As of today (2024-05-24), McDonald's's current stock price is €241.60. McDonald's's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €8.14. McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 29.68.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of McDonald's was 37.83. The lowest was 20.93. And the median was 30.52.


McDonald's E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for McDonald's's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

McDonald's E10 Chart

McDonald's Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.55 5.16 6.38 7.41 7.65

McDonald's Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.41 7.52 7.98 7.65 8.14

Competitive Comparison of McDonald's's E10

For the Restaurants subindustry, McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where McDonald's's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



McDonald's E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, McDonald's's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=2.447/131.7762*131.7762
=2.447

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

McDonald's Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201406 1.030 100.560 1.350
201409 0.846 100.428 1.110
201412 0.916 99.070 1.218
201503 0.776 99.621 1.026
201506 1.123 100.684 1.470
201509 1.247 100.392 1.637
201512 1.203 99.792 1.589
201603 1.123 100.470 1.473
201606 1.113 101.688 1.442
201609 1.336 101.861 1.728
201612 1.365 101.863 1.766
201703 1.374 102.862 1.760
201706 1.513 103.349 1.929
201709 1.946 104.136 2.463
201712 0.735 104.011 0.931
201803 1.395 105.290 1.746
201806 1.626 106.317 2.015
201809 1.800 106.507 2.227
201812 1.600 105.998 1.989
201903 1.522 107.251 1.870
201906 1.743 108.070 2.125
201909 1.916 108.329 2.331
201912 1.872 108.420 2.275
202003 1.330 108.902 1.609
202006 0.577 108.767 0.699
202009 1.995 109.815 2.394
202012 1.512 109.897 1.813
202103 1.722 111.754 2.031
202106 2.449 114.631 2.815
202109 2.431 115.734 2.768
202112 1.929 117.630 2.161
202203 1.344 121.301 1.460
202206 1.514 125.017 1.596
202209 2.707 125.227 2.849
202212 2.445 125.222 2.573
202303 2.288 127.348 2.368
202306 2.907 128.729 2.976
202309 2.970 129.860 3.014
202312 2.568 129.419 2.615
202403 2.447 131.776 2.447

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


McDonald's  (XTER:MDO) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

McDonald's's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=241.60/8.14
=29.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of McDonald's was 37.83. The lowest was 20.93. And the median was 30.52.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


McDonald's E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of McDonald's's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


McDonald's (XTER:MDO) Business Description

Address
110 North Carpenter Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
McDonald's is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2022 system sales of $116 billion across more than 40,000 stores and 115 markets. McDonald's pioneered the franchise model, building its footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees and master franchise partners around the globe. The firm earns roughly 60% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with most of the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed markets.

McDonald's (XTER:MDO) Headlines

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