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Otsuka (TSE:4768) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : 円93.68 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Otsuka Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Otsuka's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was 円63.043. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is 円93.68 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Otsuka's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.30% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Otsuka was 11.30% per year. The lowest was 6.60% per year. And the median was 9.40% per year.

As of today (2024-06-06), Otsuka's current stock price is 円2878.00. Otsuka's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was 円93.68. Otsuka's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 30.72.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Otsuka was 52.26. The lowest was 24.25. And the median was 36.53.


Otsuka Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Otsuka's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Otsuka Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Otsuka Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 62.70 65.28 73.18 75.93 90.07

Otsuka Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 82.34 82.98 87.03 90.07 93.68

Competitive Comparison of Otsuka's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Electronics & Computer Distribution subindustry, Otsuka's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Otsuka's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Otsuka's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Otsuka's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Otsuka Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Otsuka's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=63.043/107.2000*107.2000
=63.043

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 107.2000.

Otsuka Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 55.072 98.000 60.242
201409 -26.729 98.500 -29.090
201412 15.920 97.900 17.432
201503 8.043 97.900 8.807
201506 56.792 98.400 61.871
201509 -17.779 98.500 -19.349
201512 8.594 98.100 9.391
201603 12.932 97.900 14.160
201606 51.993 98.100 56.816
201609 -25.451 98.000 -27.840
201612 6.189 98.400 6.742
201703 34.467 98.100 37.664
201706 64.385 98.500 70.072
201709 -25.957 98.800 -28.164
201712 5.564 99.400 6.001
201803 21.136 99.200 22.841
201806 62.718 99.200 67.776
201809 -14.657 99.900 -15.728
201812 10.828 99.700 11.643
201903 27.152 99.700 29.195
201906 56.956 99.800 61.179
201909 -11.118 100.100 -11.907
201912 34.876 100.500 37.201
202003 35.514 100.300 37.957
202006 59.477 99.900 63.823
202009 -34.997 99.900 -37.554
202012 2.329 99.300 2.514
202103 59.267 99.900 63.598
202106 79.933 99.500 86.119
202109 -43.976 100.100 -47.095
202112 28.697 100.100 30.732
202203 43.059 101.100 45.657
202206 31.229 101.800 32.886
202209 -23.014 103.100 -23.929
202212 7.057 104.100 7.267
202303 70.329 104.400 72.215
202306 60.875 105.200 62.032
202309 2.408 106.200 2.431
202312 28.051 106.800 28.156
202403 63.043 107.200 63.043

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Otsuka  (TSE:4768) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Otsuka's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=2878.00/93.68
=30.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Otsuka was 52.26. The lowest was 24.25. And the median was 36.53.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Otsuka Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Otsuka's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Otsuka (TSE:4768) Business Description

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2-18-4 Iidabashi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 102-8573
Otsuka Corp is a Japan-based provider of system integration services. The firm's operations are organized in three segments: system integration, service and support, and others. System integration generates a majority of the firm's revenue; it sells computers, copiers, communication equipment, and software and offers consulting services. Service and support provides office supplies, maintenance, and educational support. Others includes automobile maintenance, an insurance agency, and other small businesses.

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