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McDonald's (NEOE:MCDS) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : C$0.68 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was C$3.437. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is C$0.68 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, McDonald's's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.90% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.80% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of McDonald's was 37.20% per year. The lowest was -2.30% per year. And the median was 12.20% per year.

As of today (2024-05-23), McDonald's's current stock price is C$23.46. McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was C$0.68. McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 34.50.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of McDonald's was 44.92. The lowest was 24.88. And the median was 36.27.


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

McDonald's Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 0.61 0.66

McDonald's Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.63 0.64 0.66 0.66 0.68

Competitive Comparison of McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Restaurants subindustry, McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, McDonald's's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=3.437/131.7762*131.7762
=3.437

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

McDonald's Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 0.979 100.560 1.283
201409 1.314 100.428 1.724
201412 0.874 99.070 1.163
201503 1.708 99.621 2.259
201506 1.417 100.684 1.855
201509 2.178 100.392 2.859
201512 1.171 99.792 1.546
201603 1.997 100.470 2.619
201606 1.326 101.688 1.718
201609 2.854 101.861 3.692
201612 0.231 101.863 0.299
201703 1.811 102.862 2.320
201706 1.371 103.349 1.748
201709 1.913 104.136 2.421
201712 0.745 104.011 0.944
201803 1.769 105.290 2.214
201806 1.213 106.317 1.503
201809 2.955 106.507 3.656
201812 1.103 105.998 1.371
201903 2.609 107.251 3.206
201906 2.295 108.070 2.798
201909 3.013 108.329 3.665
201912 2.018 108.420 2.453
202003 1.978 108.902 2.393
202006 -0.938 108.767 -1.136
202009 4.497 109.815 5.396
202012 2.609 109.897 3.128
202103 2.938 111.754 3.464
202106 2.032 114.631 2.336
202109 3.563 115.734 4.057
202112 3.371 117.630 3.776
202203 2.933 121.301 3.186
202206 0.311 125.017 0.328
202209 3.432 125.227 3.612
202212 3.086 125.222 3.248
202303 3.566 127.348 3.690
202306 2.075 128.729 2.124
202309 4.547 129.860 4.614
202312 3.192 129.419 3.250
202403 3.437 131.776 3.437

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


McDonald's  (NEOE:MCDS) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=23.46/0.68
=34.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of McDonald's was 44.92. The lowest was 24.88. And the median was 36.27.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


McDonald's (NEOE:MCDS) Business Description

Industry
Address
110 North Carpenter Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
McDonald's is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2022 system sales of $116 billion across more than 40,000 stores and 115 markets. McDonald's pioneered the franchise model, building its footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees and master franchise partners around the globe. The firm earns roughly 60% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with most of the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed markets.

McDonald's (NEOE:MCDS) Headlines

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