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Copa Holdings (Copa Holdings) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $16.53 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Copa Holdings's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was $4.780. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $16.53 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Copa Holdings's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.30% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 3.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Copa Holdings was 17.50% per year. The lowest was -1.10% per year. And the median was 9.30% per year.

As of today (2024-06-05), Copa Holdings's current stock price is $97.62. Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was $16.53. Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 5.91.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Copa Holdings was 26.22. The lowest was 2.20. And the median was 6.85.


Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Copa Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.08 12.25 12.98 14.38 15.98

Copa Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.79 15.13 15.76 15.98 16.53

Competitive Comparison of Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Airlines subindustry, Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Copa Holdings's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=4.78/131.7762*131.7762
=4.780

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Copa Holdings Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 4.492 100.560 5.886
201409 -2.826 100.428 -3.708
201412 5.333 99.070 7.094
201503 1.891 99.621 2.501
201506 2.526 100.684 3.306
201509 0.957 100.392 1.256
201512 1.851 99.792 2.444
201603 2.819 100.470 3.697
201606 3.499 101.688 4.534
201609 2.779 101.861 3.595
201612 4.949 101.863 6.402
201703 3.774 102.862 4.835
201706 4.012 103.349 5.116
201709 6.452 104.136 8.165
201712 5.456 104.011 6.912
201803 4.048 105.290 5.066
201806 2.245 106.317 2.783
201809 2.610 106.507 3.229
201812 3.887 105.998 4.832
201903 3.391 107.251 4.166
201906 4.404 108.070 5.370
201909 5.126 108.329 6.235
201912 5.553 108.420 6.749
202003 2.502 108.902 3.028
202006 -3.821 108.767 -4.629
202009 -0.439 109.815 -0.527
202012 1.895 109.897 2.272
202103 -0.021 111.754 -0.025
202106 3.530 114.631 4.058
202109 2.663 115.734 3.032
202112 5.737 117.630 6.427
202203 4.031 121.301 4.379
202206 3.846 125.017 4.054
202209 5.447 125.227 5.732
202212 5.437 125.222 5.722
202303 5.141 127.348 5.320
202306 5.495 128.729 5.625
202309 8.669 129.860 8.797
202312 6.625 129.419 6.746
202403 4.780 131.776 4.780

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Copa Holdings  (NYSE:CPA) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=97.62/16.53
=5.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Copa Holdings was 26.22. The lowest was 2.20. And the median was 6.85.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Copa Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Copa Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Copa Holdings (Copa Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Costa del Este, Complejo Business Park, Avenida Principal y Avenida de la Rotonda, Torre Norte Parque Lefevre, Panama, PAN
Copa Holdings SA is a provider of airline passenger and cargo service through its subsidiaries. The company operates through the air transportation segment. It offers international air transportation for passengers, cargo, and mail, operating from its Panama City hub in the Republic of Panama and domestic and international air transportation for passengers, cargo and mail with a point-to-point route network through Copa Colombia a Colombian air carrier. The company's geographical segments are North America, South America, Central America, and Caribbean. It derives a majority of revenue from South America.