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TKO Group Holdings (TKO Group Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is TKO Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, TKO Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of TKO Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Entertainment subindustry, TKO Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TKO Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, TKO Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TKO Group Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



TKO Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


TKO Group Holdings  (NYSE:TKO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


TKO Group Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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TKO Group Holdings (TKO Group Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
200 fifth Avenue, 7th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10010
TKO Group Holdings Inc is a premium sports and entertainment company that comprises UFC, the world's premier mixed martial arts organization, and WWE, an integrated media organization and the recognized global leader in sports entertainment.
Executives
Mark S Shapiro director, officer: See Remarks C/O RED ZONE LLC, 21300 REDSKIN PARK DRIVE, ASHBURN VA 20147
Ariel Emanuel director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O SOURCE INTERLINK COMPANIES, INC., 27500 RIVERVIEW CENTER BLVD, SUITE 400, BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Jonathan Kraft director C/O ENDEAVOR GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 9601 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 3RD FLOOR, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Carrie Wheeler director 500 VOLVO PARKWAY, CHESAPEAKE VA 23320
Steven R Koonin director 625 WESTPORT PARKWAY, GRAPEVINE TX 76051
Vincent K Mcmahon director, 10 percent owner C/O WORLD WRESTLING ENTERTAINMENT INC, 1241 EAST MAIN STREET, STAMFORD CT 06902
Sonya E Medina director P.O. BOX 99900, LOUISVILLE KY 40269
Shane Kapral officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O ENDEAVOR GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 9601 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 3RD FLOOR, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc. 10 percent owner 9601 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, 3RD FLOOR, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Silver Lake West Voteco, L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2775 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Silver Lake West Holdco, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Silver Lake West Holdco Ii, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Nick Khan director 1241 EAST MAIN STREET, STAMFORD CT 06902
Patrick Whitesell 10 percent owner 11601 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1600, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Bynoe Peter C B director 203 NORTH LASALLE STREET, SUITE 1900, CHICAGO IL 60601