George Risk Industries (George Risk Industries) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 24, 2024)

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What is George Risk Industries Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, George Risk Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of George Risk Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, George Risk Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

George Risk Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, George Risk Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where George Risk Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

George Risk Industries Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-10.26

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

George Risk Industries (OTCPK:RSKIA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

George Risk Industries Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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George Risk Industries (George Risk Industries) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » George Risk Industries Inc (OTCPK:RSKIA) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

802 South Elm Street, Kimball, NE, USA, 69145

Website

https://www.grisk.com

George Risk Industries Inc manufactures security products. The company is engaged in the designing, manufacturing, and sale of various products which include magnetic reed switches as well as keyboards and keyboard switches, proximity sensors, security alarm components, pool access alarms, liquid detection sensors, raceway wire covers, wire, and cable installation tools and various other sensors and devices. These security products are used in alarm system installations in the residential, commercial, industrial, and government sectors and generate maximum revenue for the company.

Executives

Bonita Risk Family Irrevocable Trust	10 percent owner	705 JEFFERSON ST., KIMBALL NE 69145
Kenneth R. Risk Revocable Trust Now Irrevocable	10 percent owner	214 W. 9TH ST., KIMBALL NE 69145
Bonita Pauline Risk	director	802 S. ELM ST., KIMBALL NE 69145
Stephanie Maire Risk-mcelroy	officer: Chief Financial Officer	802 S. ELM ST., KIMBALL NE 69145
Sharon Alberta Westby	officer: Secretary	802 S. ELM ST., KIMBALL NE 69145
Donna Dean Debowey	director	802 S. ELM ST., KIMBALL NE 69145
Daniel Roger Douglas	officer: Vice President, Materials	802 S. ELM ST., KIMBALL NE 69145