Finance of America (Finance of America) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.87% (As of Jun. 10, 2024)

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What is Finance of America Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Finance of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.87%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Finance of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Credit Services subindustry, Finance of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Finance of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, Finance of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Finance of America's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Finance of America Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-4.73

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.87%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Money Market Investments)

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Finance of America (NYSE:FOA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Finance of America Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Finance of America (Finance of America) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Credit Services » Finance of America Companies Inc (NYSE:FOA) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

5830 Granite Parkway, Suite 400, Plano, TX, USA, 75024

Website

https://www.financeofamerica.com

Finance of America Companies Inc provides a diverse selection of lending products and services. Its products include home loans, reverse mortgages, commercial loans and lender services. Its operating segments include Mortgage Originations, Reverse Originations, Commercial Originations, Lender Services, and Portfolio Management.

Executives

Kristen N Sieffert	officer: President	C/O FINANCE OF AMERICA COMPANIES INC., 5830 GRANITE PARKWAY, SUITE 400, PLANO TX 75024
Reza Jahangiri	10 percent owner	C/O AMERICAN ADVISORS GROUP, INC., 18200 VON KARMAN AVENUE, SUITE 300, IRVINE CA 92612
Bloom Retirement Holdings Inc.	10 percent owner	3800 W. CHAPMAN AVENUE, THIRD FLOOR, ORANGE CA 92868
Lauren Richmond	officer: Chief Legal Officer	C/O FINANCE OF AMERICA COMPANIES INC., 909 LAKE CAROLYN PARKWAY, SUITE 1550, IRVING TX 75039
Blackstone Tactical Opportunities Fund - S - Nq L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Tactical Opportunities Associates - Nq L.l.c.	10 percent owner	C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Edmond Safra	10 percent owner	C/O REPLAY ACQUISITION CORP., 767 FIFTH AVENUE, 46TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10153
D1 Capital Partners L.p.	10 percent owner	9 WEST 57TH STREET, 36TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Patricia Cook	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O FINANCE OF AMERICA COMPANIES INC., 909 LAKE CAROLYN PARKWAY, SUITE 1550, IRVING TX 75039
Graham Fleming	officer: President	C/O FINANCE OF AMERICA COMPANIES INC., 909 LAKE CAROLYN PARKWAY, SUITE 1550, IRVING TX 75039
Brian L Libman	director, 10 percent owner	CLAYTON HOLDINGS, INC., 2 CORPORATE DRIVE, SHELTON CT 06484
Johan Gericke	officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer	C/O FINANCE OF AMERICA COMPANIES INC., 909 LAKE CAROLYN PARKWAY, SUITE 1550, IRVING TX 75039
Blackstone Tactical Opportunities Fund - O - Nq L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Tactical Opportunities Fund - L - Nq L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Tactical Opportunities Fund - N - Nq L.p.	10 percent owner	C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154