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Marriott Vacations Worldwide (Marriott Vacations Worldwide) Altman Z-Score

: 1.39 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.39 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide has a Altman Z-Score of 1.39, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

VAC' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.18   Med: 1.57   Max: 3.22
Current: 1.39

During the past 13 years, Marriott Vacations Worldwide's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.22. The lowest was 1.18. And the median was 1.57.


Marriott Vacations Worldwide Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.56 1.20 1.51 1.57 1.36

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.57 1.59 1.57 1.45 1.36

Competitive Comparison

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Marriott Vacations Worldwide Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Marriott Vacations Worldwide Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2731+1.4*0.0767+3.3*0.0561+0.6*0.4723+1.0*0.4883
=1.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $9,680 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,936 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,292 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $742 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 64 + 66 + 140 + 128 = $398 Mil.
Interest Expense was -39 + -36 + -36 + -34 = $-145 Mil.
Revenue was 1194 + 1186 + 1178 + 1169 = $4,727 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $3,447 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $7,298 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(3936 - 1292)/9680
=0.2731

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=742/9680
=0.0767

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(398 - -145)/9680
=0.0561

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=3447.059/7298
=0.4723

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=4727/9680
=0.4883

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Marriott Vacations Worldwide has a Altman Z-Score of 1.39 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Marriott Vacations Worldwide  (NYSE:VAC) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Marriott Vacations Worldwide Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Marriott Vacations Worldwide (Marriott Vacations Worldwide) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9002 San Marco Court, Orlando, FL, USA, 32819
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp functions in the United States leisure industry. It owns and manages a cluster of resorts and accommodation facilities under trademarks like Marriott Vacation Club, Grand Residencies, and The Ritz-Carlton Destination Club predominantly in the United States. Some of its properties are also spread across Europe and Asia Pacific. Marriott's major revenue components include the sale of vacation ownership products such as luxurious vacation packages. In addition, it offers purchase money financing to the end users of its core services. The company operates in two reportable segments: Vacation Ownership and Exchange & Third-Party Management. The majority of revenue is derived from the Vacation Ownership segment.
Executives
Jason P Marino officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer 9002 SAN MARCO COURT, ORLANDO FL 32819
Anthony E Terry officer: EVP, CFO 9002 SAN MARCO COURT, ORLANDO FL 32819
Geller John E Jr officer: Exec. VP and CFO 6649 WESTWOOD BLVD., ORLANDO FL 32821
Raman Bukkapatnam officer: EVP & CIO 9002 SAN MARCO COURT, ORLANDO FL 32819
Dwight D. Smith officer: Sr. VP & CIO 6649 WESTWOOD BLVD., ORLANDO FL 32821
Stephanie Sobeck Butera officer: EVP & COO of HVO 9002 SAN MARCO CT, ORLANDO FL 32819
Michael E. Yonker officer: Sr. VP & Chief HR Officer 6649 WESTWOOD BLVD., ORLANDO FL 32821
Lizabeth Kane-hanan officer: Exec. VP & Chief Growth & Inv. 6649 WESTWOOD BLVD., ORLANDO FL 32821
Kathleen A. Pighini officer: SVP and CAO 9002 SAN MARCO COURT, ORLANDO FL 32819
Jonice Gray Tucker director 9002 SAN MARCO COURT, ORLANDO FL 32819
R. Lee Cunningham officer: Exec VP & COO-N.Am & Carribean 6649 WESTWOOD BLVD., ORLANDO FL 32821
Melquiades R. Martinez director 450 SOUTH ORANGE AVENUE, SUITE 250, ORLANDO FL 32801-3443
Hunter James H. Iv officer: Exec. VP & General Counsel 6649 WESTWOOD BLVD., ORLANDO FL 32821
Brian E. Miller officer: ExecVP-Sales,Marketing&ServOp 6649 WESTWOOD BLVD., ORLANDO FL 32821
Stephen P Weisz director, officer: President & CEO 6649 WESTWOOD BLVD., ORLANDO FL 32821