GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Homebuilding & Construction » Toll Brothers Inc (NYSE:TOL) » Definitions » Altman Z-Score

Toll Brothers (Toll Brothers) Altman Z-Score

: 4.17 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 1986. Start your Free Trial

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 4.16 is strong.

Toll Brothers has a Altman Z-Score of 4.17, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toll Brothers's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TOL' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.64   Med: 3.1   Max: 4.16
Current: 4.16

During the past 13 years, Toll Brothers's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.16. The lowest was 2.64. And the median was 3.10.


Toll Brothers Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Toll Brothers's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Toll Brothers Annual Data
Trend Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.02 2.83 3.19 3.23 3.59

Toll Brothers Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.57 3.71 3.93 3.59 4.01

Competitive Comparison

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Toll Brothers's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toll Brothers Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Toll Brothers's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toll Brothers's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Toll Brothers Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Toll Brothers's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.6583+1.4*0.5505+3.3*0.1517+0.6*2.1667+1.0*0.8116
=4.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was $12,522 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $10,723 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,480 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $6,893 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 311.161 + 604.966 + 553.017 + 430.592 = $1,900 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Revenue was 1947.848 + 3020.147 + 2687.642 + 2506.979 = $10,163 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $11,887 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $5,486 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(10722.51 - 2479.522)/12521.955
=0.6583

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=6892.821/12521.955
=0.5505

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1899.736 - 0)/12521.955
=0.1517

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=11887.359/5486.31
=2.1667

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=10162.616/12521.955
=0.8116

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Toll Brothers has a Altman Z-Score of 4.17 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Toll Brothers  (NYSE:TOL) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Toll Brothers Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Toll Brothers's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Toll Brothers (Toll Brothers) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1140 Virginia Drive, Fort Washington, PA, USA, 19034
Toll Brothers is the leading luxury homebuilder in the United States with an average sale price well above public competitors'. The company operates in over 60 markets across 24 states and caters to move-up, active-adult, and second-home buyers. Traditional homebuilding operations represent most of company's revenue. Toll Brothers also builds luxury for-sale and for-rent properties in urban centers across the U.S. It has its headquarters in Horsham, Pennsylvania.
Executives
Paul E Shapiro director
Martin P. Connor officer: Chief Financial Officer 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
John A Mclean director TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 GIBRALTAR ROAD, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Yearley Douglas C. Jr. officer: Executive Vice President 250 GIBRALTAR ROAD, HORSHAM PA 19044
Carl B Marbach director 17730 SCARSDALE WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33496
Robert Parahus officer: EVP,Co-Chief Operating Officer TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Michael J. Grubb officer: Chief Accounting Officer TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Christine Garvey director 14100 E 35TH PLACE, AURORA CO 80011
Derek T. Kan director TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Richard J Braemer director 324 SPRUCE ST, PHILADELPHIA PA 19106
Scott D Stowell director
Robert I Toll director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19006
Edward G Boehne director 313 DEVON STATE ST, DEVON PA 19333
Stephen F. East director TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
James W. Boyd officer: EVP,Co-Chief Operating Officer TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034