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The Scotts Miracle Gro Co (The Scotts Miracle Gro Co) Altman Z-Score

: 1.67 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.67 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

The Scotts Miracle Gro Co has a Altman Z-Score of 1.67, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SMG' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.44   Med: 2.95   Max: 4.34
Current: 1.67

During the past 13 years, The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.34. The lowest was 1.44. And the median was 2.95.


The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.02 4.32 3.52 1.54 1.67

The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.54 1.44 1.88 1.67 1.63

Competitive Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.



The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2468+1.4*0.1002+3.3*-0.0793+0.6*0.95+1.0*0.9244
=1.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $3,716 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,681 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $764 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $372 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -114.2 + -560.6 + 52 + 149.8 = $-473 Mil.
Interest Expense was -42.8 + -40 + -47.1 + -48.3 = $-178 Mil.
Revenue was 410.4 + 374.5 + 1118.7 + 1531.5 = $3,435 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $3,896 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $4,102 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1681.4 - 764.1)/3716.1
=0.2468

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=372.4/3716.1
=0.1002

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-473 - -178.2)/3716.1
=-0.0793

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=3896.463/4101.5
=0.95

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=3435.1/3716.1
=0.9244

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

The Scotts Miracle Gro Co has a Altman Z-Score of 1.67 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


The Scotts Miracle Gro Co  (NYSE:SMG) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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The Scotts Miracle Gro Co (The Scotts Miracle Gro Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
14111 Scottslawn Road, Marysville, OH, USA, 43041
Scotts Miracle-Gro is the largest provider of gardening and lawncare products in the United States. The majority of the company's sales are to large retailers that include Home Depot, Lowe's, and Walmart. Scotts Miracle-Gro can sell its products at a higher price point than its competition because of a well-recognized portfolio of brands that include Miracle-Gro, Roundup, Ortho, Tomcat, and Scotts. Scotts is also the leading supplier of cannabis-growing equipment in North America through its Hawthorne business.
Executives
Nancy G. Mistretta director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Kelly Thomas N Jr director C/O THE SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO COMPANY, 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Hagedorn Partnerships L P 10 percent owner SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO PRODUCTS INC, 800 PORT WASHINGTON BLVD, PORT WASHINGTON NY 11050
James Hagedorn director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO C/O SCOTTS CO, 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Julie Demuesy officer: SVP, CHIEF HUMAN RESOURCES 14111 SCOTTSLAWN RD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Mark D Kingdon director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN RD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Stephen L Johnson director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Edith Aviles director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Dimiter Todorov officer: EVP, GC & CORPORATE SECRETARY 14111 SCOTTSLAWN RD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Matthew E Garth officer: EVP & CFO 622 THIRD AVENUE, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
David C Evans officer: EVP and CFO C/O THE SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO COMPANY, 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Peter E Shumlin director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Brian E Sandoval director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
James D King officer: EVP and CCO 14111 SCOTTSLAWN RD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Gerald Volas director C/O TREX COMPANY INC., 160 EXETER DRIVE, WINCHESTER VA 22603