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Lithia Motors (Lithia Motors) Altman Z-Score

: 2.67 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.67 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Lithia Motors has a Altman Z-Score of 2.67, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Lithia Motors is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lithia Motors's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LAD' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.67   Med: 3.27   Max: 3.79
Current: 2.67

During the past 13 years, Lithia Motors's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.79. The lowest was 2.67. And the median was 3.27.


Lithia Motors Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lithia Motors's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lithia Motors Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.22 3.32 3.79 3.13 2.75

Lithia Motors Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.13 2.89 2.88 2.85 2.75

Competitive Comparison

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Lithia Motors's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lithia Motors Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Lithia Motors's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lithia Motors's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Lithia Motors Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Lithia Motors's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.103+1.4*0.2554+3.3*0.086+0.6*0.5383+1.0*1.5809
=2.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was USD19,633 Mil.
Total Current Assets was USD6,955 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was USD4,932 Mil.
Retained Earnings was USD5,013 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 279.7 + 361.3 + 407 + 314.3 = USD1,362 Mil.
Interest Expense was 17.5 + -141.2 + -97.3 + -104.2 = USD-325 Mil.
Revenue was 7674.3 + 8277 + 8111.5 + 6973.8 = USD31,037 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was USD7,186 Mil.
Total Liabilities was USD13,350 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(6955.2 - 4932.2)/19632.5
=0.103

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=5013.3/19632.5
=0.2554

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1362.3 - -325.2)/19632.5
=0.086

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=7185.574/13349.6
=0.5383

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=31036.6/19632.5
=1.5809

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Lithia Motors has a Altman Z-Score of 2.67 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Lithia Motors  (NYSE:LAD) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Lithia Motors Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Lithia Motors (Lithia Motors) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
150 N. Bartlett Street, Medford, OR, USA, 97501
Lithia Motors is a retailer of new and used vehicles and related services. The company offers over 45 brands of vehicles at about 350 stores globally including 28 U.S. states at year-end 2022 and entered Canada in mid-2021 with the purchase of Pfaff Automotive and bought Jardine and soon Pendragon in the U.K. in 2023. The company has expanded largely through the acquisition of dealerships in smaller regional markets but now seeks to grow in any part of the U.S. and we expect more deals over time in the U.S. and abroad. Annual revenue in 2022 was $28.2 billion and we see over $50 billion possible in 2025. In 2022, new-car sales were about 46% of total revenue. Lithia was founded in 1946, went public in 1996, and is now the largest U.S. auto dealer. It is based in Medford, Oregon.
Executives
Shauna Mcintyre director 150 N. BARTLETT STREET, MEDFORD OR 97501
Sidney B Deboer director, officer: Executive Chairman 234 VISTA ST., ASHLAND OR 97520
Bryan B Deboer director, officer: Chief Executive officer 150 N. BARTLETT STREET, MEDFORD OR 97501
Tina Miller officer: VP, CAO & Principal Fin. Off. 150 N. BARTLETT ST., MEDFORD OR 97501
Chris Holzshu officer: Sr. Vice President & CFO 150 N. BARTLETT STREET, MEDFORD OR 97501
David Stork officer: Senior Vice President 150 N. BARTLETT STREET, MEDFORD OR 97501
George N Hines officer: SVP, Chief Tech. & Innov. Off. 150 N. BARTLETT ST., MEDFORD OR 97501
Loretz Congdon Stacy director C/O CORE-MARK HOLDING CO. INC., 395 OYSTER POINT BLVD., SUITE 415, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Gary M Glandon officer: Chief People Officer C/O LITHIA MOTORS, INC., 150 NORTH BARTLETT STREET, MEDFORD OR 97501
James E. Lentz director C/O LITHIA MOTORS INC., 150 NORTH BARTLETT STREET, MEDFORD OR 97501
Louis Miramontes director 150 N. BARTLETT ST., MEDFORD OR 97501
Scott Hillier officer: Sr. VP of Operations 150 N. BARTLETT STREET, MEDFORD OR 97501
Kenneth E Roberts director 150 N. BARTLETT ST., MEDFORD OR 97501
Marguerite Celeste officer: Senior Vice President 150 N BARTLETT STREET, MEDFORD OR 97501
Susan O Cain director 150 NORTH BARTLETT STREET, MEDFORD OR 97501