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Gates Industrial (Gates Industrial) Altman Z-Score

: 1.97 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.97 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Gates Industrial has a Altman Z-Score of 1.97, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Gates Industrial is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Gates Industrial's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

GTES' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.82   Med: 1.54   Max: 1.97
Current: 1.97

During the past 10 years, Gates Industrial's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.97. The lowest was 0.82. And the median was 1.54.


Gates Industrial Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gates Industrial's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gates Industrial Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.53 1.41 1.85 1.73 1.82

Gates Industrial Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.73 1.87 1.75 1.75 1.82

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Gates Industrial's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gates Industrial Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Gates Industrial's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gates Industrial's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Gates Industrial Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Gates Industrial's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2236+1.4*0.2016+3.3*0.0606+0.6*1.2058+1.0*0.4921
=1.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $7,255 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,401 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $779 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $1,462 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 71.6 + 86.6 + 80.9 + 46.2 = $285 Mil.
Interest Expense was -36 + -37.2 + -42.3 + -38.6 = $-154 Mil.
Revenue was 863.3 + 872.9 + 936.3 + 897.7 = $3,570 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $4,474 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $3,711 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2401.3 - 779.3)/7254.5
=0.2236

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1462.3/7254.5
=0.2016

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(285.3 - -154.1)/7254.5
=0.0606

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=4474.070/3710.6
=1.2058

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=3570.2/7254.5
=0.4921

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Gates Industrial has a Altman Z-Score of 1.97 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Gates Industrial  (NYSE:GTES) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Gates Industrial Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Gates Industrial (Gates Industrial) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1144 Fifteenth Street, Denver, CO, USA, 80202
Gates Industrial Corp PLC is a manufacturer of engineered power transmission and fluid power solutions. The company has two operating segments; Power Transmission and Fluid Power segments. The Power Transmission solutions convey power and control motion. They are used in applications in which belts, chains, cables, geared transmissions, or direct drives transfer power from an engine or motor to another part or system. The Fluid power solutions are used in applications in which hoses and rigid tubing assemblies either transfer power hydraulically or convey fluids, gases, or granular materials from one location to another. The company generates key revenue from the Power Transmission segment.
Executives
Omaha Aggregator (cayman) L.p. 10 percent owner C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP L.P., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bx Gates Ml-1 Holdco Llc 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Inc. 10 percent owner 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Gwendolyn Ann Montgomery officer: SVP, Global Human Resources 33587 WALKER RD, AVON LAKE OH 44012
Fredrik J Eliasson director 500 WATER STREET, JACKSONVILLE FL 32202
Seth Meisel director C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Wilson S Neely director C/O GATES INDUSTRIAL CORPORATION PLC, 1144 FIFTEENTH STREET, SUITE 1400, DENVER CO 80202
Bx Gates Ml-5 Holdco Llc 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bx Gates Ml-4 Holdco Llc 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bx Gates Ml-3 Holdco Llc 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bx Gates Ml-2 Holdco Llc 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Alicia L. Tillman director C/O GATES INDUSTRIAL CORPORATION PLC, 1144 FIFTEENTH STREET, SUITE 1400, DENVER CO 80202
Thomas G. Pitstick officer: CMO & SVP Strategic Planning C/O GATES INDUSTRIAL CORPORATION PLC, 1144 FIFTEENTH STREET, SUITE 1400, DENVER CO 80202
Peifang Zhang director 21640 E. BRIARWOOD DR., AURORA CO 80016
James W Ireland director C/O GATES INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION PLC, 1144 15TH STREET, SUITE 1400, DENVER CO 80202