GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Beverages - Alcoholic » Ambev SA (NYSE:ABEV) » Definitions » Altman Z-Score

Ambev (ABEV) Altman Z-Score

: 3.00 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 1996. Start your Free Trial

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 3.15 is strong.

Ambev has a Altman Z-Score of 3.00, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ambev's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ABEV' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.15   Med: 5.04   Max: 6.62
Current: 3.15

During the past 13 years, Ambev's highest Altman Z-Score was 6.62. The lowest was 3.15. And the median was 5.04.


Ambev Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ambev's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ambev Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.49 3.85 3.57 3.47 3.48

Ambev Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.47 3.84 4.23 3.86 3.48

Competitive Comparison

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Ambev's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ambev Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Ambev's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ambev's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Ambev Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Ambev's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0335+1.4*0+3.3*0.1325+0.6*3.3501+1.0*0.5921
=3.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $27,071 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,462 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $8,369 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 964.656 + 822.014 + 488.686 + 744.473 = $3,020 Mil.
Interest Expense was -145.944 + -136.591 + -156.96 + -127.517 = $-567 Mil.
Revenue was 4079.611 + 4113.991 + 3893.548 + 3941.893 = $16,029 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $35,896 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $10,715 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(7462.162 - 8368.729)/27071.37
=-0.0335

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=0/27071.37
=0

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(3019.829 - -567.012)/27071.37
=0.1325

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=35895.910/10714.825
=3.3501

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=16029.043/27071.37
=0.5921

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Ambev has a Altman Z-Score of 3.00 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Ambev  (NYSE:ABEV) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Ambev Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ambev's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ambev (ABEV) Business Description

Address
Rua Doutor Renato Paes de Barros, 1017, 3rd Floor, Sao Paulo, SP, BRA, 04530-001
Ambev is the largest brewer in Latin America and the Caribbean and is Anheuser-Busch InBev's subsidiary in the region. It produces, distributes, and sells beer and PepsiCo products in Brazil and other Latin American countries and owns Argentina's largest brewer, Quinsa. Ambev was formed in 1999 through the merger of Brazil's two largest beverage companies, Brahma and Antarctica. In 2004, Ambev combined with Canadian brewer Labatt, giving Interbrew (now AB InBev) a controlling interest of 61.8% as at the end of 2022.

Ambev (ABEV) Headlines

From GuruFocus

First Eagle Comments on Ambev

By Sydnee Gatewood 10-29-2021

Brazilian Ambev Looks Appealing

By Holmes Osborne, CFA Holmes Osborne, CFA 11-18-2016

The Yacktman Focused Fund's Top New Stock Picks

By Margaret Moran Margaret Moran 07-23-2020

Seeking Value in Brazil: Ambev

By Mark Yu Mark Yu 05-29-2017

Ambev SA's Dividend Analysis

By GuruFocus Research 12-21-2023

6 Stocks Growing Book Value

By Tiziano Frateschi Tiziano Frateschi 03-05-2019

Ambev Reports 2018 Second Quarter Results Under IFRS

By Marketwired Marketwired 07-26-2018