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PayPal Holdings (PayPal Holdings) Altman Z-Score

: 1.85 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.85 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

PayPal Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 1.85, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that PayPal Holdings is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for PayPal Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

PYPL' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.79   Med: 2.81   Max: 4.28
Current: 1.85

During the past 12 years, PayPal Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.28. The lowest was 0.79. And the median was 2.81.


PayPal Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PayPal Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PayPal Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.26 4.28 3.42 1.86 1.84

PayPal Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.86 1.99 2.02 1.87 1.84

Competitive Comparison

For the Credit Services subindustry, PayPal Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PayPal Holdings Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, PayPal Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PayPal Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



PayPal Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

PayPal Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1716+1.4*0.2824+3.3*0.0701+0.6*1.0855+1.0*0.3623
=1.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $82,166 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $62,569 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $48,466 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $23,200 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 1793 + 1241 + 1303 + 1074 = $5,411 Mil.
Interest Expense was -87 + -86 + -87 + -87 = $-347 Mil.
Revenue was 8026 + 7418 + 7287 + 7040 = $29,771 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $66,338 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $61,115 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(62569 - 48466)/82166
=0.1716

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=23200/82166
=0.2824

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(5411 - -347)/82166
=0.0701

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=66337.583/61115
=1.0855

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=29771/82166
=0.3623

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

PayPal Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 1.85 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


PayPal Holdings  (NAS:PYPL) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


PayPal Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PayPal Holdings's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


PayPal Holdings (PayPal Holdings) Business Description

Address
2211 North First Street, San Jose, CA, USA, 95131
PayPal was spun off from eBay in 2015 and provides electronic payment solutions to merchants and consumers, with a focus on online transactions. The company had 435 million active accounts at the end of 2022. The company also owns Venmo, a person-to-person payment platform.
Executives
Peggy Alford officer: EVP, Global Sales 435 TASSO STREET, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Jonathan Auerbach officer: SVP, Strategy & Growth Off. C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC., 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95131
James Alexander Chriss director, officer: President and CEO C/O INTUIT INC., 2700 COAST AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Gabrielle Scheibe officer: See Remarks 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Daniel H Schulman director, officer: President and Chief Executive C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC., 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95131
John C. Kim officer: EVP, Chief Product Officer C/O OWLET, INC., 2500 EXECUTIVE PARKWAY, SUITE 500, LEHI UT 84043
Blake J Jorgensen officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer 209 REDWOOD SHORES PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Mark Britto officer: EVP, Global Sales and Credit C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC., 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Enrique Lores director 3000 HANOVER STREET, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Frank D Yeary director C/O INTEL CORPORATION, 2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD., RN4-151, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
David W Dorman director CVS HEALTH., ONE CVS DRIVE, WOONSOCKET RI 02895
Jeffrey William Karbowski officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer 121 ALBRIGHT WAY, LOS GATOS CA 95032
John J Donahoe director C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC, 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Adele Louise Pentland officer: SVP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC., 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95131
John D Rainey officer: CFO and EVP, Global Cust Oper C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC., 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95131