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Confluent (Confluent) Altman Z-Score

: 2.94 (As of Today)
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The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.8 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Confluent has a Altman Z-Score of 2.94, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Confluent is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Confluent's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CFLT' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.26   Med: 2.35   Max: 8.53
Current: 2.8

During the past 5 years, Confluent's highest Altman Z-Score was 8.53. The lowest was 2.26. And the median was 2.35.


Confluent Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Confluent's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Confluent Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
- - 8.53 2.26 2.35

Confluent Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.26 2.40 3.72 3.12 2.35

Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Confluent's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Confluent Altman Z-Score Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Confluent's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Confluent's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Confluent Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Confluent's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.7171+1.4*-0.6681+3.3*-0.1653+0.6*5.4042+1.0*0.3157
=2.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $2,460.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,251.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $487.0 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-1,644.2 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -62.905 + -91.103 + -101.758 + -150.908 = $-406.7 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.0 Mil.
Revenue was 213.184 + 200.181 + 189.285 + 174.302 = $777.0 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $8,919.1 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $1,650.4 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2251.655 - 487.021)/2460.809
=0.7171

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-1644.151/2460.809
=-0.6681

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-406.674 - 0)/2460.809
=-0.1653

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=8919.102/1650.394
=5.4042

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=776.952/2460.809
=0.3157

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Confluent has a Altman Z-Score of 2.94 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Confluent  (NAS:CFLT) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Confluent Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Confluent's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Confluent (Confluent) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
899 West Evelyn Avenue, Mountain View, CA, USA, 94041
Confluent Inc is a new category of data infrastructure designed to connect all the applications, systems, and data layers of a company around a real-time central nervous system. Its products include Confluent Platform; Connectors; ksqlDB and others. The company generates revenue from the sale of subscriptions and services. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States. It provides solutions to Financial Services; Insurance; Retail and eCommerce; Automotive; Government and other sectors.
Executives
Rohan Sivaram officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O CONFLUENT, INC., 899 W. EVELYN AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94041
Chad Verbowski officer: SVP of Engineering C/O CONFLUENT, INC., 899 W. EVELYN AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94041
Ying Christina Liu officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O ZENDESK, INC., 1019 MARKET STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Edward Jay Kreps director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O CONFLUENT, INC., 899 W. EVELYN AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94041
Erica Schultz officer: President, Field Operations C/O NEW RELIC, INC., 188 SPEAR STREET, STE. 1200, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Michelangelo Volpi director C/O HORTONWORKS, INC., 3640 W. BAYSHORE RD., PALO ALTO CA 94303
Stephanie Buscemi officer: Chief Marketing Officer C/O IHS INC., 15 INVERNESS EAST WAY, ENGLEWOOD CO 80107
Jonathan Chadwick director 3401 HILLVIEW AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Lara Caimi director C/O CONFLUENT, INC., 899 W EVELYN AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94041
Steffan Tomlinson officer: Chief Financial Officer PALO ALTO NETWORKS, INC., 3300 OLCOTT STREET, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Eric Vishria director, 10 percent owner 2965 WOODSIDE ROAD, WOODSIDE CA 94062
Sequoia Capital Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner 2800 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Index Ventures Vii Parallel Entrepreneur Fund (jersey), L.p. 10 percent owner C/O EFG WEALTH SOLUTIONS (JERSEY) LTD, NO. 1 SEATON PLACE, ST. HELIER Y9 JE4 8YJ
Sequoia Capital Fund Parallel, Llc 10 percent owner 2800 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Index Ventures Vii (jersey), L.p. 10 percent owner C/O EFG WEALTH SOLUTIONS (JERSEY) LTD, NO. 1 SEATON PLACE, ST. HELIER Y9 JE4 8YJ

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