GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » Universal Music Group NV (XAMS:UMG) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score
中文

Universal Music Group NV (XAMS:UMG) Beneish M-Score

: -2.77 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.77 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Universal Music Group NV's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XAMS:UMG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.77   Med: -2.44   Max: -2.44
Current: -2.77

During the past 7 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Universal Music Group NV was -2.44. The lowest was -2.77. And the median was -2.44.


Universal Music Group NV Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Universal Music Group NV's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Universal Music Group NV Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -2.44 -2.44 -2.44 -2.77 -

Universal Music Group NV Semi-Annual Data
Dec18 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.44 - -2.77 - -

Competitive Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, Universal Music Group NV's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Universal Music Group NV Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Universal Music Group NV's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Universal Music Group NV's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Universal Music Group NV Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Universal Music Group NV for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0381+0.528 * 1.0057+0.404 * 1.0059+0.892 * 1.0743+0.115 * 1.0018
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9335+4.679 * -0.047819-0.327 * 0.9379
=-2.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €2,246 Mil.
Revenue was €11,108 Mil.
Gross Profit was €4,900 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €4,056 Mil.
Total Assets was €13,091 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €493 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €382 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,059 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €6,267 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,150 Mil.
Net Income was €1,259 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €1,885 Mil.
Total Receivables was €2,014 Mil.
Revenue was €10,340 Mil.
Gross Profit was €4,587 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €3,604 Mil.
Total Assets was €11,639 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €485 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €377 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,056 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €6,520 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,459 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2246 / 11108) / (2014 / 10340)
=0.202197 / 0.194778
=1.0381

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4587 / 10340) / (4900 / 11108)
=0.443617 / 0.441124
=1.0057

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4056 + 493) / 13091) / (1 - (3604 + 485) / 11639)
=0.652509 / 0.648681
=1.0059

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11108 / 10340
=1.0743

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(377 / (377 + 485)) / (382 / (382 + 493))
=0.437355 / 0.436571
=1.0018

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1059 / 11108) / (1056 / 10340)
=0.095337 / 0.102128
=0.9335

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2150 + 6267) / 13091) / ((1459 + 6520) / 11639)
=0.642961 / 0.68554
=0.9379

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1259 - 0 - 1885) / 13091
=-0.047819

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Universal Music Group NV has a M-score of -2.57 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Universal Music Group NV Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Universal Music Group NV's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Universal Music Group NV (XAMS:UMG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Gravelandseweg 80, Hilversum, NH, NLD, 1217 EW
Universal Music Group is the largest of the three major global record labels with Sony Music in second and Warner Music in third. Universal's larger segment, recorded music, consists of iconic labels like Interscope, Capitol Music, Decca, EMI, and Motown and popular artists such as Drake, Taylor Swift, J Balvin, and Luke Bryan. Universal Music Publishing Group owns and administers almost 4 million compositions and is the second-largest music publisher behind Sony. Universal Music was spun out of Vivendi in September 2021, with 60% distributed to Vivendi shareholders, 20% to Tencent, 10% to Pershing Square Capital, and 10% remaining at Vivendi.

Universal Music Group NV (XAMS:UMG) Headlines

No Headlines