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Thor Industries (Thor Industries) Beneish M-Score

: -2.69 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.69 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Thor Industries's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

THO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.22   Med: -2.43   Max: -1.76
Current: -2.69

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Thor Industries was -1.76. The lowest was -3.22. And the median was -2.43.


Thor Industries Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Thor Industries's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Thor Industries Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.41 -2.69 -2.23 -2.36 -3.02

Thor Industries Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.91 -2.90 -3.02 -2.95 -2.69

Competitive Comparison

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Thor Industries's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Thor Industries Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Thor Industries's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Thor Industries's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Thor Industries Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Thor Industries for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2908+0.528 * 1.1482+0.404 * 0.9732+0.892 * 0.7446+0.115 * 1.0376
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1479+4.679 * -0.066675-0.327 * 0.9466
=-2.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $626 Mil.
Revenue was 2207.369 + 2500.759 + 2738.066 + 2928.82 = $10,375 Mil.
Gross Profit was 270.847 + 357.932 + 394.305 + 432.637 = $1,456 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,839 Mil.
Total Assets was $7,226 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,382 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $278 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $858 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,626 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,390 Mil.
Net Income was 7.217 + 53.565 + 90.287 + 120.719 = $272 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 16.865 + -14.913 + 5.173 + -5.667 = $1 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -103.868 + 59.668 + 507.513 + 288.799 = $752 Mil.
Total Receivables was $651 Mil.
Revenue was 2346.635 + 3108.084 + 3821.766 + 4657.517 = $13,934 Mil.
Gross Profit was 282.935 + 486.476 + 667.887 + 807.445 = $2,245 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,863 Mil.
Total Assets was $7,312 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,325 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $278 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,003 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,466 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,759 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(625.618 / 10375.014) / (650.96 / 13934.002)
=0.0603 / 0.046717
=1.2908

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2244.743 / 13934.002) / (1455.721 / 10375.014)
=0.161098 / 0.14031
=1.1482

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2839.262 + 1382.227) / 7225.829) / (1 - (2863.027 + 1325.032) / 7311.96)
=0.415778 / 0.427232
=0.9732

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10375.014 / 13934.002
=0.7446

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(278.28 / (278.28 + 1325.032)) / (277.65 / (277.65 + 1382.227))
=0.173566 / 0.167271
=1.0376

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(857.708 / 10375.014) / (1003.496 / 13934.002)
=0.082671 / 0.072018
=1.1479

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1390.469 + 1626.461) / 7225.829) / ((1758.506 + 1466.489) / 7311.96)
=0.41752 / 0.441058
=0.9466

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(271.788 - 1.458 - 752.112) / 7225.829
=-0.066675

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Thor Industries has a M-score of -2.69 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Thor Industries Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Thor Industries (Thor Industries) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
601 East Beardsley Avenue, Elkhart, IN, USA, 46514-3305
Based in Elkhart, Indiana, Thor Industries manufactures Class A, Class B, and Class C motor homes along with travel trailers and fifth wheel towables across over 30 brands. Through the acquisition of Erwin Hymer in 2019, the company expanded its geographic footprint and now produces various motorized and towable recreational vehicles for Europe, including motorcaravans, campervans, urban vehicles, caravans, and other RV-related products and services. The company has also begun generating revenue through aftermarket component parts through the acquisition of Airxcel in 2021, however, this is still a nascent part of the business as it accounts for less than 10% of total sales. In fiscal 2023, the company wholesaled 187,015 units and generated over $11.1 billion in revenue.
Executives
W. Todd Woelfer officer: Sr. VP, Gen Counsel & Sec. PO BOX 3300, ELKHART IN 46515
Kenneth D Julian officer: VP of Admin. and HR 3080 WINDSOR CT., ELKHART IN 46514
Peter Busch Orthwein director, officer: Exec. Chairman of the Board ONE LAGAYETTE PLACE, GREENWICH CT 06830
James L Ziemer director C/O HARLEY DAVIDSON, 3700 W. JUNEAU AVE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Amelia Huntington director C/O THOR INDUSTRIES, INC., 601 EAST BEARDSLEY AVE., ELKHART IN 46514-3305
Trevor Q. Gasper officer: VP, General Counsel and Sec. 601 EAST BEARDSLEY AVE., ELKHART IN 46514
Laurel Hurd director C/O NEWELL BRANDS INC., 6655 PEACHTREE DUNWOODY ROAD, ATLANTA GA 30328
Christina Hennington director 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
J Allen Kosowsky director C/O THOR INDUSTRIES, INC., 419 WEST PIKE STREET, JACKSON CENTER OH 45334-0629
Kelley William J. Jr director USG CORPORATION, 550 WEST ADAMS STREET, CHICAGO IL 60661
Josef Hjelmaker officer: Chief Innovation Officer C/O THOR INDUSTRIES, INC., 601 E. BEARDSLEY AVE., ELKHART IN 46514-3305
Christopher J Klein director 520 LAKE COOK ROAD, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Jan Suwinski director 9450 SEWARD RD, C/O OHIO CASUALTY GROUP, FAIRFIELD OH 45014
Robert W Martin director, officer: Chief Exec. Officer & Pres. C/O KEYSTONE RV COMPANY, 2642 HACKBERRY DRIVE, GOSHEN IN 46526
Troy James officer: SVP International Operations C/O THOR INDUSTRIES, INC., 601 EAST BEARDSLEY AVENUE, ELKHART IN 46514-3305