Shopify Beneish M-Score Historical Data
The historical data trend for Shopify's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
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Shopify Annual Data
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Trend |
Dec14 |
Dec15 |
Dec16 |
Dec17 |
Dec18 |
Dec19 |
Dec20 |
Dec21 |
Dec22 |
Dec23 |
| Beneish M-Score |
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|
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|
|
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-0.57 |
-2.16 |
-0.83 |
-2.50 |
-2.49 |
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Shopify Quarterly Data
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Mar19 |
Jun19 |
Sep19 |
Dec19 |
Mar20 |
Jun20 |
Sep20 |
Dec20 |
Mar21 |
Jun21 |
Sep21 |
Dec21 |
Mar22 |
Jun22 |
Sep22 |
Dec22 |
Mar23 |
Jun23 |
Sep23 |
Dec23 |
| Beneish M-Score |
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|
|
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-2.50 |
-2.49 |
-2.61 |
-2.77 |
-2.49 |
Competitive Comparison
For the Software - Application subindustry, Shopify's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Shopify Beneish M-Score Distribution
For the Software industry and Technology sector, Shopify's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Shopify's Beneish M-Score falls into.
Shopify Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Shopify for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1.0352 | + | 0.528 * 0.9878 | + | 0.404 * 1.1 | + | 0.892 * 1.2607 | + | 0.115 * 0.4983 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 0.7003 | + | 4.679 * -0.073812 | - | 0.327 * 0.8655 |
| = | -2.49 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Dec23) TTM: | Last Year (Dec22) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $1,155 Mil.
Revenue was 2144 + 1714 + 1694 + 1508 = $7,060 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1062 + 901 + 835 + 717 = $3,515 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,275 Mil.
Total Assets was $11,299 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $147 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $69 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,711 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $898 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,133 Mil.
Net Income was 657 + 718 + -1311 + 68 = $132 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 325 + 543 + -1063 + 217 = $22 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 448 + 278 + 118 + 100 = $944 Mil.
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Total Receivables was $885 Mil.
Revenue was 1735 + 1366 + 1295 + 1204 = $5,600 Mil.
Gross Profit was 798 + 662 + 656 + 638 = $2,754 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,050 Mil.
Total Assets was $10,757 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $486 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $92 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,938 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $856 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,378 Mil.
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1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (1155 / 7060) | / | (885 / 5600) |
| = | 0.163598 | / | 0.158036 |
| | = | 1.0352 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (2754 / 5600) | / | (3515 / 7060) |
| = | 0.491786 | / | 0.497875 |
| | = | 0.9878 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (6275 + 147) / 11299) | / | (1 - (6050 + 486) / 10757) |
| = | 0.431631 | / | 0.392396 |
| | = | 1.1 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 7060 | / | 5600 |
| | = | 1.2607 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (92 / (92 + 486)) | / | (69 / (69 + 147)) |
| = | 0.15917 | / | 0.319444 |
| | = | 0.4983 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (1711 / 7060) | / | (1938 / 5600) |
| = | 0.242351 | / | 0.346071 |
| | = | 0.7003 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((1133 + 898) / 11299) | / | ((1378 + 856) / 10757) |
| = | 0.17975 | / | 0.207679 |
| | = | 0.8655 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (132 - 22 | - | 944) | / | 11299 |
| | = | -0.073812 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Shopify has a M-score of -2.49 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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