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Oshkosh (Oshkosh) Beneish M-Score

: -2.36 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.36 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Oshkosh's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OSK' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.79   Med: -2.38   Max: -2.15
Current: -2.36

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Oshkosh was -2.15. The lowest was -2.79. And the median was -2.38.


Oshkosh Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Oshkosh's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Oshkosh Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.39 -2.53 -2.79 -2.46 -2.36

Oshkosh Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.46 -2.31 -2.53 -2.35 -2.36

Competitive Comparison

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Oshkosh's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Oshkosh Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Oshkosh's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oshkosh's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Oshkosh Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Oshkosh for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0321+0.528 * 0.7315+0.404 * 1.3153+0.892 * 1.1661+0.115 * 0.8584
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0485+4.679 * -0.001687-0.327 * 1.0324
=-2.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $2,130 Mil.
Revenue was 2466.8 + 2509.9 + 2413.1 + 2268.1 = $9,658 Mil.
Gross Profit was 454.4 + 468.1 + 424.5 + 333.8 = $1,681 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,481 Mil.
Total Assets was $9,129 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,334 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $160 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $810 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,090 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $598 Mil.
Net Income was 150.8 + 183.7 + 175 + 88.5 = $598 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.6 + 2.6 + 4.8 + 5.8 = $14 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 479.6 + 166.6 + -126.4 + 79.8 = $600 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,770 Mil.
Revenue was 2203.6 + 2066.7 + 2066 + 1945.7 = $8,282 Mil.
Gross Profit was 334.3 + 278.7 + 240.1 + 201.3 = $1,054 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $4,532 Mil.
Total Assets was $7,729 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,063 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $108 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $663 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,429 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $595 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2130.2 / 9657.9) / (1769.9 / 8282)
=0.220566 / 0.213704
=1.0321

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1054.4 / 8282) / (1680.8 / 9657.9)
=0.127312 / 0.174034
=0.7315

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4480.8 + 1333.8) / 9129.2) / (1 - (4532.1 + 1063.4) / 7729)
=0.363077 / 0.276038
=1.3153

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=9657.9 / 8282
=1.1661

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(107.6 / (107.6 + 1063.4)) / (159.9 / (159.9 + 1333.8))
=0.091887 / 0.10705
=0.8584

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(810.4 / 9657.9) / (662.8 / 8282)
=0.083911 / 0.080029
=1.0485

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((597.5 + 3089.6) / 9129.2) / ((595 + 2428.6) / 7729)
=0.40388 / 0.391202
=1.0324

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(598 - 13.8 - 599.6) / 9129.2
=-0.001687

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Oshkosh has a M-score of -2.36 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Oshkosh Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Oshkosh (Oshkosh) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1917 Four Wheel Drive, Oshkosh, WI, USA, 54902
Oshkosh is the top producer of access equipment, specialty vehicles, and military trucks. It serves diverse end markets, where it is typically the market share leader in North America, or, in the case of JLG aerial work platforms, a global leader. In recent years, the company has manufactured joint light tactical vehicles, or JLTV, for the U.S. Department of Defense. However, Oshkosh recently lost the JLTV recompete, bringing its U.S. Postal Service contract into focus, which calls for the electrification of U.S. postal vehicles. The company reports four segments—access equipment (48% of revenue), defense (26%), fire and emergency (13%), and commercial (13%)—and generated $8.3 billion in revenue in 2022.
Executives
Bryan K Brandt officer: SVP & Chief Marketing Officer 1917 FOUR WHEEL DRIVE, OSHKOSH WI 54902
James W. Johnson officer: Exec. VP & Pres., Fire & Emerg C/O OSHKOSH CORPORATION, 1917 FOUR WHEEL DRIVE, OSHKOSH WI 54902
John S Verich officer: SVP and Treasurer 1917 FOUR WHEEL DRIVE, OSHKOSH WI 54902
Michael E Pack officer: Exec. VP and CFO 1917 FOUR WHEEL DRIVE, OSHKOSH WI 54902
Frank R. Nerenhausen officer: EVP & Pres. Commercial Segment C/O OSHKOSH CORPORATION, 1917 FOUR WHEEL DRIVE, OSHKOSH WI 54902
Jason P Baab officer: SVP, Corp. Develop. & Strategy 8111 LYNDALE AVENUE SOUTH, BLOOMINGTON MN 55420
Timothy S Bleck officer: SVP & Pres. Defense Segment 1917 FOUR WHEEL DR, OSHKOSH WI 54902
David G Perkins director 1917 FOUR WHEEL DRIVE, OSHKOSH WI 54902
Thomas P Hawkins officer: SVP, Government Relations 1917 FOUR WHEEL DRIVE, OSHKOSH WI 54902
Jayanthi Iyengar officer: EVP, Chief Tech & Strategic C/O ARRAY TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 3901 MIDWAY PLACE NE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87109
John J Bryant officer: SVP and Pres, Defense Segment 1917 FOUR WHEEL DRIVE, OSHKOSH WI 54902
Douglas Lee Davis director 1150 N. ALMA SCHOOL ROAD, MESA AZ 85201
James C Freeders officer: Senior VP and Controller 1917 FOUR WHEEL DRIVE, OSHKOSH WI 54902
Bradley M. Nelson officer: SVP & Pres. Commercial Segment C/O OSHKOSH CORPORATION, 1917 FOUR WHEEL DRIVE, OSHKOSH WI 54903-2566
Anupam Khare officer: SVP/Chief Information Officer 1917 FOUR WHEEL DRIVE, OSHKOSH WI 54902