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Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.
The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Good Sign:
Beneish M-Score -2.82 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
The historical rank and industry rank for Loews's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Loews was -2.49. The lowest was -3.13. And the median was -2.83.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Loews for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.9175 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 0.9907 | + | 0.892 * 1.1159 | + | 0.115 * 1.0108 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 1 | + | 4.679 * -0.08273 | - | 0.327 * 0.9469 | |||||||
= | -2.82 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Dec23) TTM: | Last Year (Dec22) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $9,214 Mil. Revenue was $15,678 Mil. Gross Profit was $15,678 Mil. Total Current Assets was $54,434 Mil. Total Assets was $79,197 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $10,718 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $538 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $1,163 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $7,919 Mil. Net Income was $1,434 Mil. Gross Profit was $4,079 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was $3,907 Mil. |
Total Receivables was $9,000 Mil. Revenue was $14,050 Mil. Gross Profit was $14,050 Mil. Total Current Assets was $52,013 Mil. Total Assets was $75,567 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $10,027 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $509 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $987 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $8,165 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (9214 / 15678) | / | (9000 / 14050) | |
= | 0.587703 | / | 0.640569 | |
= | 0.9175 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (14050 / 14050) | / | (15678 / 15678) | |
= | 1 | / | 1 | |
= | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (54434 + 10718) / 79197) | / | (1 - (52013 + 10027) / 75567) | |
= | 0.177343 | / | 0.179007 | |
= | 0.9907 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 15678 | / | 14050 | |
= | 1.1159 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (509 / (509 + 10027)) | / | (538 / (538 + 10718)) | |
= | 0.048311 | / | 0.047797 | |
= | 1.0108 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (0 / 15678) | / | (0 / 14050) | |
= | 0 | / | 0 | |
= | 1 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((7919 + 1163) / 79197) | / | ((8165 + 987) / 75567) | |
= | 0.114676 | / | 0.121111 | |
= | 0.9469 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (1434 - 4079 | - | 3907) | / | 79197 | |
= | -0.08273 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Loews has a M-score of -2.82 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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Andrew H Tisch | director | 667 MADISON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10021-8087 |
Jonathan M Tisch | director, officer: Co-Ch. of Bd/Off. of the Pres. | 667 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10021-8087 |
Ann E Berman | director | 255 STATE STREET, BOSTON MA 02109 |
Anthony Welters | director | |
Paul J Fribourg | director | 667 MADISON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10021 |
Walter L Harris | director | TANENBAUM HARBER CO, 320 W 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019 |
Charles M Diker | director | ONE NEW YORK PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10004 |
Joseph L Bower | director | 667 MADISON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10021 |
Kenneth I Siegel | officer: Senior Vice President | 667 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10065 |
Jonathan C Locker | director | C/O LOEWS CORPORATION, 9 WEST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019 |
Charles D Davidson | director | QUANTUM ENERGY PARTNERS, 1401 MCKINNEY STREET, SUITE 2700, HOUSTON TX 77010 |
Richard Waldo Scott | officer: SVP & Chief Investment Officer | 667 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10065 |
Benjamin J Tisch | officer: Sr. VP, Corp Dev and Strategy | 667 MADISON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10065 |
Marc A Alpert | officer: Sr. VP, Gen. Coun. & Secy. | 667 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10065 |
Mark S Schwartz | officer: V.P., C.A.O. and Treasurer | C/O LOEWS CORPORATION, 667 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10065-8087 |
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