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HubSpot (HubSpot) Beneish M-Score

: -2.51 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.51 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for HubSpot's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HUBS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.3   Med: -2.6   Max: -2.02
Current: -2.51

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of HubSpot was -2.02. The lowest was -3.30. And the median was -2.60.


HubSpot Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for HubSpot's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

HubSpot Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.40 -2.69 -2.40 -2.88 -2.51

HubSpot Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.88 -2.94 -2.99 -2.93 -2.51

Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, HubSpot's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


HubSpot Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, HubSpot's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where HubSpot's Beneish M-Score falls into.



HubSpot Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of HubSpot for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0383+0.528 * 0.9734+0.404 * 1.9159+0.892 * 1.2538+0.115 * 0.708
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9701+4.679 * -0.138618-0.327 * 0.9242
=-2.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $295 Mil.
Revenue was 581.915 + 557.557 + 529.138 + 501.62 = $2,170 Mil.
Gross Profit was 493.28 + 470.031 + 441.852 + 419.574 = $1,825 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,872 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,071 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $354 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $73 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,318 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $956 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $753 Mil.
Net Income was -13.604 + -5.463 + -118.946 + -38.282 = $-176 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -6.092 + -2.51 + -63.55 + -29.364 = $-102 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 104.312 + 89.046 + 76.543 + 81.07 = $351 Mil.
Total Receivables was $227 Mil.
Revenue was 469.656 + 443.958 + 421.755 + 395.599 = $1,731 Mil.
Gross Profit was 389.395 + 361.831 + 342.824 + 322.663 = $1,417 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,755 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,545 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $425 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $58 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,084 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $762 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $770 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(295.303 / 2170.23) / (226.849 / 1730.968)
=0.13607 / 0.131053
=1.0383

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1416.713 / 1730.968) / (1824.737 / 2170.23)
=0.818451 / 0.840804
=0.9734

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1871.54 + 354.402) / 3071.392) / (1 - (1754.599 + 424.531) / 2544.738)
=0.275266 / 0.143672
=1.9159

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2170.23 / 1730.968
=1.2538

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(58.15 / (58.15 + 424.531)) / (72.673 / (72.673 + 354.402))
=0.120473 / 0.170164
=0.708

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1318.207 / 2170.23) / (1083.791 / 1730.968)
=0.607404 / 0.626118
=0.9701

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((752.767 + 956.247) / 3071.392) / ((770.411 + 761.653) / 2544.738)
=0.55643 / 0.602052
=0.9242

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-176.295 - -101.516 - 350.971) / 3071.392
=-0.138618

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

HubSpot has a M-score of -2.51 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


HubSpot Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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HubSpot (HubSpot) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
25 First Street, 2nd Floor, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02141
HubSpot provides a cloud-based marketing, sales, and customer service software platform referred to as the growth platform. The applications are available ala carte or packaged together. HubSpot's mission is to help companies grow better and has expanded from its initial focus on inbound marketing to embrace marketing, sales, and service more broadly. The company was founded in 2006, completed its initial public offering in 2014, and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Executives
Brian Halligan director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O HUBSPOT, 25 FIRST STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Ronald S Gill director C/O NETSUITE INC, 2955 CAMPUS DRIVE SUITE 100, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Kathryn Bueker officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O HUBSPOT, INC., 25 FIRST STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Dharmesh Shah director, officer: Chief Technology Officer 25 FIRST STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Lorrie M Norrington director C/O EBAY INC., 2145 HAMILTON AVENUE, SAN JOSE CA 95125
Dawson Alyssa Harvey officer: Chief Legal Officer 1100 PAGE MILL RD, PALO ALTO CA 94304-1974
Andrew Anagnost director 111 MCINNIS PARKWAY, AUTODESK, INC., SAN RAFAEL CA 94903
Yamini Rangan officer: Chief Customer Officer 333 BRANNAN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Claire D'oyly-hughes Johnson director C/O AMERESCO, INC., 111 SPEEN STREET, STE. 401, FRAMINGHAM MA 01701-3812
John P. Kelleher officer: General Counsel 25 FIRST STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Nick V. Caldwell director C/O HUBSPOT, INC., 25 FIRST STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Michael K Simon director C/O LOGMEIN, INC., 500 UNICORN PARK DRIVE, WOBURN MA 01801
J Donald Sherman officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O CITRIX SYSTEMS, INC., 851 WEST CYPRESS CREEK ROAD, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33309
Hunter Madeley officer: SVP, Global Sales 25 FIRST STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
John Kinzer officer: Chief Financial Officer 25 FIRST STREET, 2ND FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141