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Cummins (Cummins) Beneish M-Score : -2.98 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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Cummins Beneish M-Score Definition

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.98 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cummins's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CMI' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.98   Med: -2.66   Max: -2.21
Current: -2.98

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Cummins was -2.21. The lowest was -2.98. And the median was -2.66.


Cummins Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cummins's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cummins Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.84 -2.75 -2.51 -2.21 -2.98

Cummins Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.21 -2.21 -2.13 -2.48 -2.98

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Cummins's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cummins Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Cummins's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cummins's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Cummins Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Cummins for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8845+0.528 * 0.9883+0.404 * 0.9681+0.892 * 1.2134+0.115 * 0.8757
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.998+4.679 * -0.114013-0.327 * 1.0509
=-2.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $5,583 Mil.
Revenue was 8543 + 8431 + 8638 + 8453 = $34,065 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2001 + 2071 + 2148 + 2029 = $8,249 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $15,198 Mil.
Total Assets was $32,005 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $6,750 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,024 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $3,208 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $12,903 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,176 Mil.
Net Income was -1431 + 656 + 720 + 790 = $735 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 70 + 158 + 190 = $418 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1459 + 1529 + 483 + 495 = $3,966 Mil.
Total Receivables was $5,202 Mil.
Revenue was 7770 + 7333 + 6586 + 6385 = $28,074 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1819 + 1642 + 1726 + 1532 = $6,719 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $14,451 Mil.
Total Assets was $30,299 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $6,013 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $784 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,649 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $11,421 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,866 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5583 / 34065) / (5202 / 28074)
=0.163893 / 0.185296
=0.8845

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6719 / 28074) / (8249 / 34065)
=0.239332 / 0.242155
=0.9883

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (15198 + 6750) / 32005) / (1 - (14451 + 6013) / 30299)
=0.314232 / 0.324598
=0.9681

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=34065 / 28074
=1.2134

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(784 / (784 + 6013)) / (1024 / (1024 + 6750))
=0.115345 / 0.131721
=0.8757

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3208 / 34065) / (2649 / 28074)
=0.094173 / 0.094358
=0.998

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5176 + 12903) / 32005) / ((4866 + 11421) / 30299)
=0.56488 / 0.537542
=1.0509

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(735 - 418 - 3966) / 32005
=-0.114013

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Cummins has a M-score of -2.98 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Cummins Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Cummins (Cummins) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 Jackson Street, Box 3005, Columbus, IN, USA, 47202-3005
Cummins is the top manufacturer of diesel engines used in commercial trucks, off-highway equipment, and railroad locomotives, in addition to standby and prime power generators. The company also sells powertrain components, which include transmissions, turbochargers, aftertreatment systems, and fuel systems. Cummins is in the unique position of competing with its primary customers, heavy-duty truck manufacturers, who make and aggressively market their own engines. Despite robust competition across all its segments and increasing government regulation of carbon emissions, Cummins has maintained its leadership position in the industry.
Executives
Jennifer Rumsey officer: Chief Technical Officer 500 JACKSON STREET, COLUMBUS IN 47201
Daniel William Fisher director 2526 SPRUCE MEADOWS DRIVE, BROOMFIELD CO 80023
Jonathan David Wood officer: Vice President & CTO 500 JACKSON STREET, COLUMBUS IN 47201
Sharon R Barner officer: VP - General Counsel 500 JACKSON STREET, COLUMBUS IN 47201
Georgia R Nelson director C/O TOWER AUTOMOTIVE INC, 27175 HAGGERTY ROAD, NOVI MI 48377-3626
Di Leo Allen Bruno V director INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP., C/O SEC'Y'S OFFICE, ONE NEW ORCHARD ROAD, ARMONK NY 10504
Franklin R Changdiaz director 500 JACKSON ST., M/C 60701, COLUMBUS IN 47201
Tony Satterthwaite officer: President - Distribution 1400 73RD AVENUE NE, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
Norman Thomas Linebarger officer: President-Power Gen.
Tracy A Embree officer: VP & Pres. - Components Group 500 JACKSON STREET, COLUMBUS IN 47201
Mahesh Narang officer: VP & President - Components 500 JACKSON STREET, COLUMBUS IN 47201
Mark Andrew Smith officer: VP - Operations Finance 500 JACKSON STREET, COLUMBUS IN 47201
Marvin Boakye officer: VP - Chief Human Resources Off PO BOX 99900, LOUISVILLE KY 40269
Srikanth Padmanabhan officer: President - Engine Busines 500 JACKSON STREET, COLUMBUS IN 47201
Jennifer Mary Bush officer: VP & Pres. - Power Systems CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY, 1 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 1000, CHICAGO IL 60606