GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Construction » Argan Inc (NYSE:AGX) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

Argan (AGX) Beneish M-Score

: -2.88 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 1995. Start your Free Trial

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.88 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Argan's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AGX' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.54   Med: -2.63   Max: 1.82
Current: -2.88

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Argan was 1.82. The lowest was -7.54. And the median was -2.63.


Argan Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Argan's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Argan Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.54 -4.46 -2.65 0.10 -2.88

Argan Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.10 -1.66 -1.43 -2.68 -2.88

Competitive Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Argan's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Argan Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Argan's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Argan's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Argan Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Argan for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0008+0.528 * 1.3461+0.404 * 0.7748+0.892 * 1.26+0.115 * 1.6042
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7881+4.679 * -0.162103-0.327 * 1.2213
=-2.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $113.8 Mil.
Revenue was 164.554 + 163.755 + 141.349 + 103.675 = $573.3 Mil.
Gross Profit was 23.633 + 19.235 + 23.742 + 14.224 = $80.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $547.2 Mil.
Total Assets was $598.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $18.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2.4 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $44.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $302.3 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $0.0 Mil.
Net Income was 12.018 + 5.464 + 12.767 + 2.109 = $32.4 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 5.253 + 3.733 + 4.118 + -0.629 = $12.5 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 24.595 + 57.71 + 35.801 + -1.248 = $116.9 Mil.
Total Receivables was $90.2 Mil.
Revenue was 118.778 + 117.875 + 118.11 + 100.277 = $455.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was 20.028 + 22.208 + 24.387 + 19.738 = $86.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $438.7 Mil.
Total Assets was $489.5 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $16.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $3.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $44.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $202.5 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $0.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(113.782 / 573.333) / (90.237 / 455.04)
=0.198457 / 0.198306
=1.0008

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(86.361 / 455.04) / (80.834 / 573.333)
=0.189788 / 0.14099
=1.3461

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (547.179 + 18.541) / 598.229) / (1 - (438.702 + 16.454) / 489.487)
=0.054342 / 0.070137
=0.7748

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=573.333 / 455.04
=1.26

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3.715 / (3.715 + 16.454)) / (2.405 / (2.405 + 18.541))
=0.184194 / 0.114819
=1.6042

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(44.376 / 573.333) / (44.692 / 455.04)
=0.0774 / 0.098216
=0.7881

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 302.26) / 598.229) / ((0 + 202.503) / 489.487)
=0.505258 / 0.413705
=1.2213

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(32.358 - 12.475 - 116.858) / 598.229
=-0.162103

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Argan has a M-score of -2.88 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Argan (AGX) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Church Street, Suite 201, Rockville, MD, USA, 20850
Argan Inc is a United States-based company that primarily operates in the power industry services segment through its wholly-owned subsidiaries. Gemma Power Systems and affiliates, one of Argan's subsidiaries, contributed almost all Argan's sales. GPS is a contractor that provides a full range of engineering, procurement, and construction services for power-generating projects. GPS' works encompass complete plant design, construction, electrical interconnection, plant testing, and commissioning. Argan also generates a small portion of sales from industrial fabrication and field services, as well as telecommunication infrastructure services. It operates in three segments: Power Services, Industrial Services, and Telecom Services, out of which Power Services derive majority revenue.
Executives
Cynthia Flanders director, officer: SVP & CFO 10006 WILDWOOD ROAD, KENSINGTON MD 20895
Jeffrey John Ronald Jr. director 55 GRANDVIEW CIRCLE, MANHASSET NY 11030
Griffin William F Jr director, officer: VC/CEO of Gemma Power Systems C/O GEMMA POWER SYSTEMS, LLC, 769 HEBRON AVENUE, GLASTONBURY CT 06033
Mitchell W G Champion director NETWORK SOLUTIONS, INC., 3009 RIVER LANE, NEW BERN NC 28562
David Hibbert Watson officer: SVP and CFO C/O ARGAN, INC., ONE CHURCH STREET, SUITE 201, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Richard H Deily officer: Vice President C/O ARGAN, INC., ONE CHURCH STREET, SUITE 201, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Peter W Getsinger director 35 SNOW?S POINT, EDGARTOWN MA 02539
James W Quinn director PUROFLOW INCORPORATED, ONE CHURCH STREET SUITE 302, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Trebilcock Terrance Colin officer: Co-President, Gemma Power Sys. 64 SADDLE RIDGE ROAD, GLASTONBURY CT 06033
Collins Charles Edwin Iv officer: Co-President, Gemma Power Sys. 68 HICKORY DRIVE, SOUTH GLASTONBURY CT 06073
Mano S Koilpillai director 7380 IRA SEARS ROAD, ADAMSTOWN MD 21710
James E Quinn director C/O TIFFANY & CO LEGAL DEPT, 727 FIFTH AVE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Henry A Crumpton director 2101 WILSON BLVD., SUITE 500, ARLINGTON VA 20005
William F. Leimkuhler director 43 SALEM STRAITS RD, DARIEN CT 06820
Rainer H Bosselmann director, officer: Chairman of the Board and CEO PUROFLOW INCORPORATED, ONE CHURCH STREET SUITE 302, ROCKVILLE MD 20850