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American Eagle Outfitters (American Eagle Outfitters) Beneish M-Score

: -2.95 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.95 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for American Eagle Outfitters's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AEO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.08   Med: -2.86   Max: -0.78
Current: -2.95

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of American Eagle Outfitters was -0.78. The lowest was -3.08. And the median was -2.86.


American Eagle Outfitters Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for American Eagle Outfitters's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

American Eagle Outfitters Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -2.37 -0.78 -2.87 -2.95

American Eagle Outfitters Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.87 -2.79 -2.84 -3.26 -2.95

Competitive Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, American Eagle Outfitters's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Eagle Outfitters Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, American Eagle Outfitters's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Eagle Outfitters's Beneish M-Score falls into.



American Eagle Outfitters Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of American Eagle Outfitters for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.97+0.528 * 0.909+0.404 * 0.8631+0.892 * 1.0545+0.115 * 0.8482
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.071+4.679 * -0.078677-0.327 * 0.9579
=-2.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $248 Mil.
Revenue was 1678.911 + 1301.055 + 1200.879 + 1080.926 = $5,262 Mil.
Gross Profit was 614.586 + 543.797 + 453.016 + 413.179 = $2,025 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,433 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,558 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,719 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $235 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,433 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $891 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $901 Mil.
Net Income was 6.316 + 96.7 + 48.57 + 18.453 = $170 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -118.915 + 3.984 + 2.15 + -17.964 = $-131 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 296.367 + 136.452 + 156.107 + -8.216 = $581 Mil.
Total Receivables was $242 Mil.
Revenue was 1496.088 + 1240.583 + 1198.124 + 1055.037 = $4,990 Mil.
Gross Profit was 507.432 + 479.773 + 370.017 + 388.026 = $1,745 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,100 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,421 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,869 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $212 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,269 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $769 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,030 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(247.934 / 5261.771) / (242.386 / 4989.832)
=0.04712 / 0.048576
=0.97

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1745.248 / 4989.832) / (2024.578 / 5261.771)
=0.349761 / 0.384771
=0.909

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1433.35 + 1718.629) / 3557.909) / (1 - (1100.241 + 1868.513) / 3420.956)
=0.114092 / 0.132186
=0.8631

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5261.771 / 4989.832
=1.0545

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(212.499 / (212.499 + 1868.513)) / (235.213 / (235.213 + 1718.629))
=0.102113 / 0.120385
=0.8482

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1433.299 / 5261.771) / (1269.096 / 4989.832)
=0.272399 / 0.254336
=1.071

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((901.122 + 891.172) / 3557.909) / ((1030.111 + 768.948) / 3420.956)
=0.503749 / 0.525894
=0.9579

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(170.039 - -130.745 - 580.71) / 3557.909
=-0.078677

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

American Eagle Outfitters has a M-score of -2.95 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


American Eagle Outfitters Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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American Eagle Outfitters (American Eagle Outfitters) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
77 Hot Metal Street, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15203-2329
American Eagle Outfitters Inc is an apparel and accessory retailer with company stores in U.S., Canada, Mexico, and Hong Kong. The Company leases all store premises, regional distribution facilities, some of its office space, and certain information technology and office equipment. American Eagle also has an online business that ships worldwide. It operates in two segments: American Eagle and Aerie. The majority of its revenue comes from its primary brand, American Eagle, which offers an assortment of specialty apparel and accessories for women and men. Geographically, it generates the vast majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Jennifer M. Foyle officer: Global Brand President-aerie 77 HOT METAL STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15203
Cary D Mcmillan director SARA LEE BRANDED APPAREL, 70 W MADISON STREET, CHICAGO IL 60602
Michael R Rempell officer: EVP, COO NY Design Center 77 HOT METAL STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15203
David M. Sable director 77 HOT METAL STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15203-2329
Noel Joseph Spiegel director RADIAN GROUP INC., 1601 MARKET STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Andrew J. Mclean officer: EVP & Chief Commercial Officer 77 HOT METAL STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15203
Steven A Davis director 3776 SOUTH HIGH ST, COLUMBUS OH 43207
Marisa Baldwin officer: EVP - CHRO C/O ASCENA RETAIL GROUP, INC., 933 MACARTHUR BOULEVARD, MAHWAH NJ 07430
Charles F Kessler officer: EVP-Mdsing&Design Off-AEBrand 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Thomas R Ketteler director 2301 WEST LAFAYETTE, DETROIT MI 48216
Stacy Siegal officer: EVP and General Counsel 800 COMMONWEALTH DRIVE, SUITE 100, WARRENDALE PA 15086
Keefer James H Jr officer: VP, Controller & CAO 77 HOT METAL STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15203
Michael A. Mathias officer: EVP and CFO 77 HOT METAL STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15203
Deborah A Henretta director ONE RIVERFRONT PLAZA, CORNING NY 14831
Jay L Schottenstein director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman of the Board 1800 MOLER ROAD, COLUMBUS OH 43207