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Costco Wholesale (COST) Beneish M-Score

: -2.78 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.78 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Costco Wholesale's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

COST' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.02   Med: -2.67   Max: -2.17
Current: -2.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Costco Wholesale was -2.17. The lowest was -3.02. And the median was -2.67.


Costco Wholesale Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Costco Wholesale's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Costco Wholesale Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.78 -2.37 -2.60 -2.30 -2.84

Costco Wholesale Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.49 -2.54 -2.84 -2.88 -2.78

Competitive Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Costco Wholesale's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Costco Wholesale Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Costco Wholesale's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Costco Wholesale's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Costco Wholesale Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Costco Wholesale for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9645+0.528 * 0.9737+0.404 * 0.9826+0.892 * 1.0616+0.115 * 0.9543
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.034+4.679 * -0.05915-0.327 * 1.0434
=-2.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb24) TTM:Last Year (Feb23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $2,779 Mil.
Revenue was 58442 + 57799 + 78939 + 53648 = $248,828 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7302 + 7342 + 9720 + 6473 = $30,837 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $32,146 Mil.
Total Assets was $66,323 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $30,341 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,175 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $22,331 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $34,688 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $8,353 Mil.
Net Income was 1743 + 1589 + 2160 + 1302 = $6,794 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 31 + 3 + 26 + 9 = $69 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 731 + 4651 + 3725 + 1541 = $10,648 Mil.
Total Receivables was $2,714 Mil.
Revenue was 55266 + 54437 + 72091 + 52596 = $234,390 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6843 + 6668 + 8533 + 6241 = $28,285 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $34,330 Mil.
Total Assets was $66,848 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $28,583 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,949 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $20,343 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $32,516 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $9,063 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2779 / 248828) / (2714 / 234390)
=0.011168 / 0.011579
=0.9645

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(28285 / 234390) / (30837 / 248828)
=0.120675 / 0.123929
=0.9737

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (32146 + 30341) / 66323) / (1 - (34330 + 28583) / 66848)
=0.057838 / 0.058865
=0.9826

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=248828 / 234390
=1.0616

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1949 / (1949 + 28583)) / (2175 / (2175 + 30341))
=0.063835 / 0.06689
=0.9543

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(22331 / 248828) / (20343 / 234390)
=0.089745 / 0.086791
=1.034

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8353 + 34688) / 66323) / ((9063 + 32516) / 66848)
=0.64896 / 0.621993
=1.0434

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6794 - 69 - 10648) / 66323
=-0.05915

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Costco Wholesale has a M-score of -2.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Costco Wholesale Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Costco Wholesale (COST) Business Description

Address
999 Lake Drive, Issaquah, WA, USA, 98027
Costco operates a membership-based, no-frills retail model, predicated on offering a select product assortment in bulk quantities at bargain prices. The firm avoids maintaining costly product displays by keeping inventory on pallets and limits distribution expenses by storing its inventory at point of sale in the warehouse. Given Costco's frugal cost structure, the firm is able to price its merchandise below competing retailers, driving high sales volume per warehouse and allowing the retailer to generate strong profits on thin margins. Costco operates nearly 600 warehouses in the United States and boasts over 60% market share in the domestic warehouse club industry. Internationally, Costco operates another 270 warehouses, primarily in markets such as Canada, Mexico, Japan, and the U.K.
Executives
W Craig Jelinek officer: Executive VP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Yoram Rubananko officer: Executive VP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Caton Frates officer: Executive Vice President 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Daniel M. Hines other: Principal Acctg Officer 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Richard A Galanti director, officer: Executive VP and CFO 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Pierre Riel officer: EVP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Russell D Miller officer: Executive Vice President 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Claudine Adamo officer: Executive Vice President 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
James C Klauer officer: Executive Vice President 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Patrick J Callans officer: Executive VP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Helena Foulkes director ONE CVS DRIVE, WOONSOCKET RI 02895
Susan L Decker director C/O YAHOO INC, 701 FIRST AVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Roland Michael Vachris officer: Executive VP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
James P. Murphy officer: Executive VP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Kenneth D Denman director