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Booking Holdings (Booking Holdings) Beneish M-Score

: -2.80 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.8 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKNG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.48   Med: -2.59   Max: -1.53
Current: -2.8

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Booking Holdings was -1.53. The lowest was -3.48. And the median was -2.59.


Booking Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Booking Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -3.48 -1.53 -2.53 -2.80

Booking Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.53 -3.06 -2.81 -2.83 -2.80

Competitive Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Booking Holdings Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Booking Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Booking Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Booking Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1674+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.7349+0.892 * 1.2501+0.115 * 1.0235
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0251+4.679 * -0.105907-0.327 * 1.2968
=-2.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $3,253 Mil.
Revenue was 4784 + 7341 + 5462 + 3778 = $21,365 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4784 + 7341 + 5462 + 3778 = $21,365 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $17,034 Mil.
Total Assets was $24,342 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,489 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $665 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $14,366 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $13,330 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $12,822 Mil.
Net Income was 222 + 2511 + 1290 + 266 = $4,289 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -223 + 9 + -81 + -182 = $-477 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1346 + 1372 + 1737 + 2889 = $7,344 Mil.
Total Receivables was $2,229 Mil.
Revenue was 4049 + 6052 + 4294 + 2695 = $17,090 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4049 + 6052 + 4294 + 2695 = $17,090 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $15,798 Mil.
Total Assets was $25,361 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,314 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $607 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $11,210 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $8,474 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $12,537 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3253 / 21365) / (2229 / 17090)
=0.152258 / 0.130427
=1.1674

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(17090 / 17090) / (21365 / 21365)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (17034 + 1489) / 24342) / (1 - (15798 + 1314) / 25361)
=0.239052 / 0.325263
=0.7349

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=21365 / 17090
=1.2501

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(607 / (607 + 1314)) / (665 / (665 + 1489))
=0.315981 / 0.308728
=1.0235

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(14366 / 21365) / (11210 / 17090)
=0.672408 / 0.655939
=1.0251

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((12822 + 13330) / 24342) / ((12537 + 8474) / 25361)
=1.074357 / 0.828477
=1.2968

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4289 - -477 - 7344) / 24342
=-0.105907

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Booking Holdings has a M-score of -2.80 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Booking Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Booking Holdings (Booking Holdings) Business Description

Address
800 Connecticut Avenue, Norwalk, CT, USA, 06854
Booking is the world's largest online travel agency by sales, offering booking and payment services for hotel and alternative accommodation rooms, airline tickets, rental cars, restaurant reservations, cruises, experiences, and other vacation packages. The company operates a number of branded travel booking sites, including Booking.com, Agoda, OpenTable, and Rentalcars.com, and has expanded into travel media with the acquisitions of Kayak and Momondo. Transaction fees for online bookings account for the bulk of revenue and profits.
Executives
Glenn D Fogel officer: Hd Worldwide Strat & Planning PRICELINE.COM INCORPORATED, 800 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, NORWALK CT 06854
David I Goulden officer: Chief Financial Officer 176 SOUTH STREET, HOPKINTON MA 01748
Radakovich Lynn Vojvodich director C/O BOOKING HOLDINGS INC., 800 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, NORWALK CT 06854
Nicholas Read director C/O BOOKING HOLDINGS INC., 800 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, NORWALK CT 06854
Susana D'emic officer: SVP, CAO & Controller C/O TIME INC., 225 LIBERTY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10281
Paulo Pisano officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 800 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, NORWALK CT 06854
Larry Quinlan director 2225 LAWSON LANE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Mylod Robert J Jr officer: Vice Chairman
Sumit Singh director C/O CHEWY, INC., 7700 WEST SUNRISE BLVD, PLANTATION FL 33322
Peter J Millones officer: Executive VP, General Counsel
Jeffery H Boyd director C/O ASPEN GROVE CAPITAL, LLC, PO BOX 9389, AVON CO 81620
Dijk Bob Van director C/O BOOKING HOLDINGS INC., 800 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, NORWALK CT 06854
Gillian Tans officer: President & COO, Booking.com C/O THE PRICELINE GROUP INC., 800 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, NORWALK CT 06854
Vanessa Ames Wittman director C/O MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES, INC., 1166 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Wei Hopeman director C/O BOOKING HOLDINGS INC., 800 CONNECTICUT AVENUE, NORWALK CT 06854

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