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Iveco Group NV (MIL:IVG) Beneish M-Score

: -2.63 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.63 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Iveco Group NV's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:IVG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.05   Med: -2.84   Max: -2.63
Current: -2.63

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Iveco Group NV was -2.63. The lowest was -3.05. And the median was -2.84.


Iveco Group NV Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Iveco Group NV's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Iveco Group NV Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only - - - -3.05 -2.63

Iveco Group NV Quarterly Data
Dec18 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.05 -2.57 -2.56 -2.56 -2.63

Competitive Comparison

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Iveco Group NV's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Iveco Group NV Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Iveco Group NV's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Iveco Group NV's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Iveco Group NV Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Iveco Group NV for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1435+0.528 * 0.8361+0.404 * 0.9638+0.892 * 1.1234+0.115 * 0.9683
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9757+4.679 * -0.06081-0.327 * 1.0311
=-2.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was €6,391 Mil.
Revenue was 4877 + 3671 + 4108 + 3328 = €15,984 Mil.
Gross Profit was 746 + 593 + 655 + 477 = €2,471 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €12,415 Mil.
Total Assets was €18,385 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,261 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €599 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,026 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €11,388 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,158 Mil.
Net Income was -25 + 86 + 151 + 6 = €218 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1641 + -203 + 402 + -504 = €1,336 Mil.
Total Receivables was €4,975 Mil.
Revenue was 4418 + 3471 + 3329 + 3010 = €14,228 Mil.
Gross Profit was 614 + 433 + 433 + 359 = €1,839 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €10,398 Mil.
Total Assets was €16,013 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,167 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €560 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €936 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €10,553 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €890 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6391 / 15984) / (4975 / 14228)
=0.399837 / 0.349663
=1.1435

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1839 / 14228) / (2471 / 15984)
=0.129252 / 0.154592
=0.8361

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (12415 + 3261) / 18385) / (1 - (10398 + 3167) / 16013)
=0.147348 / 0.152876
=0.9638

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=15984 / 14228
=1.1234

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(560 / (560 + 3167)) / (599 / (599 + 3261))
=0.150255 / 0.155181
=0.9683

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1026 / 15984) / (936 / 14228)
=0.064189 / 0.065786
=0.9757

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2158 + 11388) / 18385) / ((890 + 10553) / 16013)
=0.736796 / 0.714607
=1.0311

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(218 - 0 - 1336) / 18385
=-0.06081

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Iveco Group NV has a M-score of -2.63 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Iveco Group NV Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Iveco Group NV (MIL:IVG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Via Puglia n. 35, Turin, ITA, 10156
Iveco Group NV is engaged in the design, production, marketing, sale, servicing, and financing of trucks, commercial vehicles, buses, and specialty vehicles for firefighting, defense, and other uses, as well as combustion engines, alternative propulsion systems, transmissions, and axles. The group has three operating segments: Commercial and Specialty Vehicles, Powertrain and Financial Services. Majority of revenue is generated from Commercial and Specialty Vehicles. Commercial and Specialty Vehicles designs, manufactures and distributes a full range of light, medium, and heavy vehicles for the transportation and distribution of goods; city-buses, commuter buses; quarry and mining equipment. Geographically, majority of revenue is generated from Europe.

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