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Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co (HKSE:00468) Beneish M-Score

: -2.78 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.78 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00468' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.23   Med: -2.59   Max: -1.91
Current: -2.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co was -1.91. The lowest was -3.23. And the median was -2.59.


Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.13 -2.69 -1.91 -2.67 -2.78

Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.91 - -2.67 - -2.78

Competitive Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9292+0.528 * 0.8369+0.404 * 1.0855+0.892 * 0.9495+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0234+4.679 * -0.04916-0.327 * 0.7049
=-2.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$730 Mil.
Revenue was HK$4,175 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$745 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,880 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$4,406 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,325 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$460 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,140 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$17 Mil.
Net Income was HK$267 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$484 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$827 Mil.
Revenue was HK$4,397 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$657 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$3,224 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$4,779 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,354 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$159 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$474 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,772 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$7 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(729.768 / 4174.603) / (827.148 / 4396.518)
=0.174811 / 0.188137
=0.9292

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(656.587 / 4396.518) / (744.985 / 4174.603)
=0.149343 / 0.178456
=0.8369

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2879.924 + 1324.609) / 4406.144) / (1 - (3223.893 + 1353.814) / 4779.151)
=0.045757 / 0.042151
=1.0855

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4174.603 / 4396.518
=0.9495

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(159.044 / (159.044 + 1353.814)) / (0 / (0 + 1324.609))
=0.105128 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(460.337 / 4174.603) / (473.713 / 4396.518)
=0.110271 / 0.107747
=1.0234

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((16.602 + 1139.998) / 4406.144) / ((7.373 + 1772.425) / 4779.151)
=0.262497 / 0.372409
=0.7049

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(267.116 - 0 - 483.72) / 4406.144
=-0.04916

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co has a M-score of -2.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co (HKSE:00468) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No.14 Jiuxianqiao Road, A4-2nd Floor, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100015
Greatview Aseptic Packaging Co Ltd manufactures and sells a variety of paper-based packaging products. The company's primary product categories include packaging for dairy products and noncarbonated soft drink products. The sale of packaging for dairy products generates the majority of revenue. Greatview Aseptic Packaging also sells scrap metals. The firm organizes itself into two segments based on geography: the People's Republic of China, or PRC, and International. The PRC segment generates the majority of revenue.

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