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Caterpillar (Caterpillar) Peter Lynch Fair Value

: $212.31 (As of Today)
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Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Caterpillar's PEG is 1. Caterpillar's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 10.01. Caterpillar's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was $21.21. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $212.31.

As of today (2024-04-19), Caterpillar's share price is $357.93. Caterpillar's Peter Lynch fair value is $212.31. Therefore, Caterpillar's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 1.69.


The historical rank and industry rank for Caterpillar's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

CAT' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.77   Med: 1.27   Max: 1.71
Current: 1.69


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Caterpillar was 1.71. The lowest was 0.77. And the median was 1.27.


CAT's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
85.88% of 85 companies
in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry
Industry Median: 0.76 vs CAT: 1.69

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Caterpillar Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for Caterpillar's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Caterpillar Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 190.56 126.74 185.35 - 212.31

Caterpillar Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 99.75 148.01 212.31

Competitive Comparison

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Caterpillar's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Caterpillar Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Caterpillar's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Caterpillar's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



Caterpillar Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Caterpillar's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 10.01 *21.21
=212.31

Caterpillar's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $21.21.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


Caterpillar  (NYSE:CAT) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 10.01 instead of 15 in this case.

Caterpillar's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=357.93/212.31
=1.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Caterpillar Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Caterpillar's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Caterpillar (Caterpillar) Business Description

Address
5205 N. O'Connor Boulevard, Suite 100, Irving, TX, USA, 75039
Caterpillar is the premier manufacturer of heavy equipment, power solutions, and locomotives. It is currently the world's largest manufacturer of heavy equipment with over 13% market share in 2021. The company is divided into four reportable segments: construction industries, resource industries, energy and transportation, and Caterpillar Financial Services. Its products are available through a dealer network that covers the globe with about 2,700 branches maintained by 160 dealers. Caterpillar Financial Services provides retail financing for machinery and engines to its customers, in addition to wholesale financing for dealers, which increases the likelihood of Caterpillar product sales.
Executives
Anthony D. Fassino officer: Group President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Cheryl H Johnson officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 40 WESTMINSTER STREET, PROVIDENCE RI 02903
Joseph E Creed officer: Interim CFO 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Denise C Johnson officer: Group President C/O CATERPILLAR, INCORPORATED, 901 WEST WASHINGTON, CV41110, EAST PEORIA IL 61630
Lange Bob De officer: Group President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Fish James C Jr director 800 CAPITOL STREET 3000, HOUSTON TX 77002
Judith Fran Marks director C/O HUBBELL INCORPORATED, 40 WATERVIEW DRIVE, SHELTON CT 06484
David Maclennan director 14701 CHARLSON ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55347
Suzette M Long officer: Int. Executive Vice President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFILED IL 60015
Daniel M Dickinson director THAYER CAPITAL PARTNERS, 1455 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE NW, STE 350, WASHINGTON DC 20004
William E Schaupp officer: Chief Accounting Officer PPG INDUSTRIES, INC., ONE PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15272
Gary Michael Marvel officer: Chief Accounting Officer 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Gerald Johnson director 300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, M/C: 482-C23-A68, DETROIT MI 48265
Ramin Younessi officer: Group President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
William P Ainsworth officer: Group President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD X1 60015

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